C.A. Cerro vs Deportivo Maldonado: Team Comparison
C.A. CerrovsDeportivo Maldonado 
Comparing C.A. Cerro and Deportivo Maldonado across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward C.A. Cerro — a 39% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 26%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Deportivo Maldonado carry the stronger recent form, C.A. Cerro project for more goals (1.59 xG). Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| C.A. Cerro | Metric | Deportivo Maldonado |
|---|---|---|
| 44 | Strength rating | 61 |
| 39% | Win probability | 36% |
| L L W L | Recent form | W W L W |
| 1.59 | Expected goals | 1.34 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, C.A. Cerro or Deportivo Maldonado?
The model favours C.A. Cerro at 39%, with the draw at 26%.