Aretxabaleta vs CD Derio: Team Comparison
AretxabaletavsCD Derio 
Comparing Aretxabaleta and CD Derio across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Aretxabaleta — a 39% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 26%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: CD Derio carry the stronger recent form, Aretxabaleta project for more goals (1.43 xG). Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Aretxabaleta | Metric | CD Derio |
|---|---|---|
| 46 | Strength rating | 60 |
| 39% | Win probability | 36% |
| L D D | Recent form | W W L |
| 1.43 | Expected goals | 1.21 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Aretxabaleta or CD Derio?
The model favours Aretxabaleta at 39%, with the draw at 26%.