New York Red Bulls vs St. Louis City: Team Comparison
New York Red BullsvsSt. Louis City 
Comparing New York Red Bulls and St. Louis City across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward St. Louis City — a 52% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 23%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: St. Louis City carry the stronger recent form, St. Louis City project for more goals (1.55 xG), New York Red Bulls have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| New York Red Bulls | Metric | St. Louis City |
|---|---|---|
| 50 | Strength rating | 73 |
| 26% | Win probability | 52% |
| W W L D L | Recent form | W W W D W |
| 1 | Head-to-head wins | 1 |
| 1.01 | Expected goals | 1.55 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, New York Red Bulls or St. Louis City?
The model favours St. Louis City at 52%, with the draw at 23%.