UD Almeria vs Burgos: Team Comparison
UD AlmeriavsBurgos 
Comparing UD Almeria and Burgos across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward UD Almeria — a 56% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 24%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: UD Almeria project for more goals (1.84 xG), Burgos have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| UD Almeria | Metric | Burgos |
|---|---|---|
| 57 | Strength rating | 46 |
| 56% | Win probability | 20% |
| L W L D D | Recent form | W L W L L |
| 2 | Head-to-head wins | 3 |
| 1.84 | Expected goals | 0.80 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, UD Almeria or Burgos?
The model favours UD Almeria at 56%, with the draw at 24%.