Tigres de la UANL vs Deportivo Toluca: Team Comparison
Tigres de la UANLvsDeportivo Toluca 
Comparing Tigres de la UANL and Deportivo Toluca across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Tigres de la UANL — a 37% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 27%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Tigres de la UANL carry the stronger recent form, Tigres de la UANL have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Tigres de la UANL | Metric | Deportivo Toluca |
|---|---|---|
| 56 | Strength rating | 42 |
| 37% | Win probability | 36% |
| D W W L L | Recent form | L L D D D |
| 7 | Head-to-head wins | 5 |
| 1.37 | Expected goals | 1.23 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Tigres de la UANL or Deportivo Toluca?
The model favours Tigres de la UANL at 37%, with the draw at 27%.