Stoke City II vs Derby County II: Team Comparison
Stoke City IIvsDerby County II 
Comparing Stoke City II and Derby County II across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Stoke City II — a 41% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 27%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Stoke City II project for more goals (1.37 xG). Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Stoke City II | Metric | Derby County II |
|---|---|---|
| 55 | Strength rating | 54 |
| 41% | Win probability | 33% |
| — | Recent form | D W W L |
| 1.37 | Expected goals | 1.06 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Stoke City II or Derby County II?
The model favours Stoke City II at 41%, with the draw at 27%.