Shakhtar Donetsk vs AEK Athens: Team Comparison
Shakhtar DonetskvsAEK Athens 
Comparing Shakhtar Donetsk and AEK Athens across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Shakhtar Donetsk — a 43% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 26%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Shakhtar Donetsk carry the stronger recent form, Shakhtar Donetsk project for more goals (2.27 xG). Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Shakhtar Donetsk | Metric | AEK Athens |
|---|---|---|
| 70 | Strength rating | 50 |
| 43% | Win probability | 31% |
| W W W W W | Recent form | L W W W D |
| 2.27 | Expected goals | 1.63 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Shakhtar Donetsk or AEK Athens?
The model favours Shakhtar Donetsk at 43%, with the draw at 26%.