Porto vs PSV Eindhoven: Team Comparison
PortovsPSV Eindhoven 
Comparing Porto and PSV Eindhoven across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Porto — a 54% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 22%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: PSV Eindhoven carry the stronger recent form, Porto project for more goals (0.95 xG), Porto have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Porto | Metric | PSV Eindhoven |
|---|---|---|
| 49 | Strength rating | 42 |
| 54% | Win probability | 24% |
| L L L L D | Recent form | L W W L W |
| 1 | Head-to-head wins | 1 |
| 0.95 | Expected goals | 0.47 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Porto or PSV Eindhoven?
The model favours Porto at 54%, with the draw at 22%.