Liverpool vs Villarreal: Team Comparison
LiverpoolvsVillarreal 
Comparing Liverpool and Villarreal across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Liverpool — a 61% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 19%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Villarreal carry the stronger recent form, Liverpool project for more goals (2.69 xG), Villarreal have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Liverpool | Metric | Villarreal |
|---|---|---|
| 56 | Strength rating | 58 |
| 61% | Win probability | 20% |
| L L L W W | Recent form | W W W L D |
| 1 | Head-to-head wins | 3 |
| 2.69 | Expected goals | 1.03 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Liverpool or Villarreal?
The model favours Liverpool at 61%, with the draw at 19%.