Olympique de Marseille vs Toulouse: Team Comparison
Olympique de MarseillevsToulouse 
Comparing Olympique de Marseille and Toulouse across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Olympique de Marseille — a 52% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 22%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Toulouse carry the stronger recent form, Olympique de Marseille project for more goals (2.90 xG), Toulouse have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Olympique de Marseille | Metric | Toulouse |
|---|---|---|
| 63 | Strength rating | 53 |
| 52% | Win probability | 26% |
| W D W L D | Recent form | L W W W W |
| 1 | Head-to-head wins | 11 |
| 2.90 | Expected goals | 1.55 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Olympique de Marseille or Toulouse?
The model favours Olympique de Marseille at 52%, with the draw at 22%.