Bayern Munich vs Borussia Dortmund: Team Comparison
Bayern MunichvsBorussia Dortmund 
Comparing Bayern Munich and Borussia Dortmund across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Bayern Munich — a 71% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 14%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Bayern Munich carry the stronger recent form, Bayern Munich project for more goals (2.12 xG), Borussia Dortmund have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Bayern Munich | Metric | Borussia Dortmund |
|---|---|---|
| 73 | Strength rating | 40 |
| 71% | Win probability | 15% |
| W D L D W | Recent form | D L D D L |
| 1 | Head-to-head wins | 11 |
| 2.12 | Expected goals | 0.55 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Bayern Munich or Borussia Dortmund?
The model favours Bayern Munich at 71%, with the draw at 14%.