Atletico Madrid vs Bayern Munich: Team Comparison
Atletico MadridvsBayern Munich 
Comparing Atletico Madrid and Bayern Munich across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Bayern Munich — a 46% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 23%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Atletico Madrid carry the stronger recent form, Bayern Munich project for more goals (2.80 xG), Bayern Munich have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Atletico Madrid | Metric | Bayern Munich |
|---|---|---|
| 59 | Strength rating | 63 |
| 31% | Win probability | 46% |
| W D W W W | Recent form | D W D D W |
| 2 | Head-to-head wins | 3 |
| 2.32 | Expected goals | 2.80 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Atletico Madrid or Bayern Munich?
The model favours Bayern Munich at 46%, with the draw at 23%.