Manchester United vs Roma: Team Comparison

Manchester United Manchester UnitedvsRoma Roma

Comparing Manchester United and Roma across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Manchester United — a 45% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 23%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.

The detail backs this up: Manchester United carry the stronger recent form, Manchester United project for more goals (2.62 xG), Roma have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.

Manchester UnitedMetricRoma
51Strength rating45
45%Win probability32%
D L L W DRecent formL D L D D
2Head-to-head wins6
2.62Expected goals1.81
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Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.

Who is more likely to win, Manchester United or Roma?

The model favours Manchester United at 45%, with the draw at 23%.