Real Sociedad vs Lyon: Team Comparison
Real SociedadvsLyon 
Comparing Real Sociedad and Lyon across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Real Sociedad — a 51% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 24%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Real Sociedad carry the stronger recent form, Real Sociedad project for more goals (1.93 xG), Real Sociedad have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Real Sociedad | Metric | Lyon |
|---|---|---|
| 73 | Strength rating | 38 |
| 51% | Win probability | 24% |
| W W W D W | Recent form | L L W W L |
| 2 | Head-to-head wins | 2 |
| 1.93 | Expected goals | 1.01 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Real Sociedad or Lyon?
The model favours Real Sociedad at 51%, with the draw at 24%.