Sturm Graz vs Celje: Team Comparison
Sturm GrazvsCelje 
Comparing Sturm Graz and Celje across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Sturm Graz — a 61% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 21%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Sturm Graz project for more goals (1.96 xG), Sturm Graz have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Sturm Graz | Metric | Celje |
|---|---|---|
| 77 | Strength rating | 40 |
| 61% | Win probability | 18% |
| D W W L W | Recent form | W D D L W |
| 3 | Head-to-head wins | 0 |
| 1.96 | Expected goals | 0.70 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Sturm Graz or Celje?
The model favours Sturm Graz at 61%, with the draw at 21%.