Bosnia and Herzegovina vs Republic of North Macedonia: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Bosnia and Herzegovinavs
Republic of North MacedoniaOur model leans Bosnia and Herzegovina (56% probability), high confidence.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +The odds point to a clear favourite.
- −The head-to-head record favours Republic of North Macedonia (0-2-1).
- +Recent form favours Bosnia and Herzegovina.
- +Bosnia and Herzegovina have home advantage.
Win probabilities
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- The odds point to a clear favourite.
- The head-to-head record favours Republic of North Macedonia (0-2-1).
- Recent form favours Bosnia and Herzegovina.
- Bosnia and Herzegovina have home advantage.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. "Value" means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 6 | 3 | |||
| 1 | 13 | 11 | 5 | 1 | ||
| 2 | 11 | 10 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 3 | 6 | 6 | 3 | |||
| 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Value radar
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply — a potential value spot.
Full analysis
The model blends the odds, head-to-head history and recent form to frame this clash between Bosnia and Herzegovina and Republic of North Macedonia. After removing the bookmaker margin, the probabilities settle at 56% for Bosnia and Herzegovina, 17% for the draw and 27% for Republic of North Macedonia.
Several signals point toward Bosnia and Herzegovina. The odds point to a clear favourite. Recent form favours Bosnia and Herzegovina. Bosnia and Herzegovina have home advantage.
Across the last 3 meetings, the record reads 0 Bosnia and Herzegovina wins, 2 draws and 1 Republic of North Macedonia wins. Recent scorelines: 2-2, 1-0, 4-4.
If the trend holds, a scoreline around 2-1 is plausible — treat it as a pointer, not a certainty.
On form, Bosnia and Herzegovina show W-W-D-W-W across their recent outings, while Republic of North Macedonia read D-L-L-D-D. Recent momentum carries weight in the assessment, particularly when combined with home advantage and the competition context.
On the secondary markets, our model puts over 2.5 goals at 49% and both teams to score at 48%. The totals market stays finely balanced.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Bosnia and Herzegovina or Republic of North Macedonia?
Our model rates Bosnia and Herzegovina as the most likely outcome at 56% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Bosnia and Herzegovina vs Republic of North Macedonia?
A scoreline around 2-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 3 meetings: 0 Bosnia and Herzegovina wins, 2 draws, 1 Republic of North Macedonia wins.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.