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World Cup 2026

Bosnia and Herzegovina vs Qatar: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

Bosnia and Herzegovina Bosnia and HerzegovinavsQatar Qatar
Our predictionBosnia and Herzegovina to win
Confidence: High · 92/100
Score hint: 2-1

Our model leans Bosnia and Herzegovina (62% probability), high confidence.

Why this prediction

+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.

Win probabilities

1 · Bosnia and HerzegovinaDraw2 · Qatar
Full team comparison
Team strength rating
Bosnia and Herzegovina
71
Qatar
38

Recent form

Bosnia and HerzegovinaDDWWD
QatarDLLDL

Most likely scorelines

1-013.4%
2-012.8%
1-110.0%
2-19.6%
3-08.1%
0-07.1%

Expected goals

1.90Bosnia and Herzegovina
xG
0.75Qatar
Over 2.5 goals49%
Both teams to score45%

Match DNA

AttackDefenseFormStrengthH2HVenue
Bosnia and Herzegovina Qatar

Key points

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment
1X2Bosnia and Herzegovina win1.58Fair (+1.8%)

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. "Value" means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A012345
0752
113104
213104
3862
4431
511

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Value radar

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply — a potential value spot.

1X2Bosnia and Herzegovina1.58+1.8%
1X2Draw6.14-0.7%
1X2Qatar3.99-1.1%
Our model BookmakerPositive edge = potential value. Not betting advice.

Full analysis

The model blends the odds, head-to-head history and recent form to frame this clash between Bosnia and Herzegovina and Qatar. After removing the bookmaker margin, the probabilities settle at 62% for Bosnia and Herzegovina, 15% for the draw and 23% for Qatar.

Several signals point toward Bosnia and Herzegovina. The odds point to a clear favourite. Recent form favours Bosnia and Herzegovina. Bosnia and Herzegovina have home advantage.

Across the last 1 meetings, the record reads 0 Bosnia and Herzegovina wins, 1 draws and 0 Qatar wins. Recent scorelines: 1-1.

If the trend holds, a scoreline around 2-1 is plausible — treat it as a pointer, not a certainty.

On form, Bosnia and Herzegovina show D-D-W-W-D across their recent outings, while Qatar read D-L-L-D-L. Recent momentum carries weight in the assessment, particularly when combined with home advantage and the competition context.

On the secondary markets, our model puts over 2.5 goals at 49% and both teams to score at 45%. The totals market stays finely balanced.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, Bosnia and Herzegovina or Qatar?

Our model rates Bosnia and Herzegovina as the most likely outcome at 62% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for Bosnia and Herzegovina vs Qatar?

A scoreline around 2-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

What's the head-to-head record?

In the last 1 meetings: 0 Bosnia and Herzegovina wins, 1 draws, 0 Qatar wins.

See odds at bookmakers

Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.