Belarus vs Syria: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Belarusvs
SyriaOur model leans Belarus (55% probability), high confidence.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +The odds point to a clear favourite.
- +Recent form favours Belarus.
- +Belarus have home advantage.
Win probabilities
Value radar
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply — a potential value spot.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- The odds point to a clear favourite.
- Recent form favours Belarus.
- Belarus have home advantage.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. "Value" means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 6 | 3 | |||
| 1 | 13 | 11 | 5 | 1 | ||
| 2 | 11 | 10 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 3 | 7 | 6 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | |||
| 5 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model blends the odds, head-to-head history and recent form to frame this clash between Belarus and Syria. After removing the bookmaker margin, the probabilities settle at 55% for Belarus, 20% for the draw and 25% for Syria.
Several signals point toward Belarus. The odds point to a clear favourite. Recent form favours Belarus. Belarus have home advantage.
Across the last 1 meetings, the record reads 1 Belarus wins, 0 draws and 0 Syria wins. Recent scorelines: 0-1.
If the trend holds, a scoreline around 2-1 is plausible — treat it as a pointer, not a certainty.
On form, Belarus show W-W-D-D-L across their recent outings, while Syria read L-L-D-D-W. Recent momentum carries weight in the assessment, particularly when combined with home advantage and the competition context.
On the secondary markets, our model puts over 2.5 goals at 49% and both teams to score at 48%. The totals market stays finely balanced.
Our model flags a disagreement with the market on "Belarus" (1X2): we rate it 55% versus the 53% implied by odds of 1.79, an edge of 2.4 points. That's where the market appears to underrate the true likelihood.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Belarus or Syria?
Our model rates Belarus as the most likely outcome at 55% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Belarus vs Syria?
A scoreline around 2-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 1 meetings: 1 Belarus wins, 0 draws, 0 Syria wins.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.