Red Bull Bragantino vs Sport Club Internacional: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Our model leans Red Bull Bragantino (47% probability), medium confidence.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +The odds point to a clear favourite.
- −The head-to-head record favours Sport Club Internacional (0-2-4).
- +Red Bull Bragantino score more per game (2.0 at home vs 1.0 away).
- +Red Bull Bragantino is tighter at the back (9 shots conceded per game).
- +Red Bull Bragantino creates more chances (17 vs 15 shots per game).
- −Red Bull Bragantino are dealing with notable absentees.
Win probabilities
Value radar
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply — a potential value spot.
Recent form
Expected goals
Most likely scorelines
Match DNA
Key points
- The odds point to a clear favourite.
- The head-to-head record favours Sport Club Internacional (0-2-4).
- Red Bull Bragantino score more per game (2.0 at home vs 1.0 away).
- Red Bull Bragantino is tighter at the back (9 shots conceded per game).
- Goals outlook: an open game likely.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. "Value" means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 1 | 10 | 11 | 6 | 2 | ||
| 2 | 8 | 10 | 6 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 1 | ||
| 4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | |||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model blends the odds, head-to-head history, recent form and season stats to frame this clash between Red Bull Bragantino and Sport Club Internacional. After removing the bookmaker margin, the probabilities settle at 47% for Red Bull Bragantino, 23% for the draw and 30% for Sport Club Internacional.
Several signals point toward Red Bull Bragantino. The odds point to a clear favourite. Red Bull Bragantino score more per game (2.0 at home vs 1.0 away). Red Bull Bragantino is tighter at the back (9 shots conceded per game).
Across the last 6 meetings, the record reads 0 Red Bull Bragantino wins, 2 draws and 4 Sport Club Internacional wins. Recent scorelines: 3-1, 1-3, 4-1, 2-2, 1-0.
If the trend holds, a scoreline around 2-1 is plausible — treat it as a pointer, not a certainty.
On form, Red Bull Bragantino show L-W-D-L-L across their recent outings, while Sport Club Internacional read L-L-L-D-W. Recent momentum carries weight in the assessment, particularly when combined with home advantage and the competition context.
The season numbers frame the tie. At home, Red Bull Bragantino run at 2.0 goals per game, 17 shots, 52% possession across 8 matches. On the road, Sport Club Internacional post 1.0 goals per game, 15 shots, 50% possession over 8 outings. It's these measured gaps, not a hunch, that steer the call.
On the secondary markets, our model puts over 2.5 goals at 56% and both teams to score at 57%. The match profile leans toward a higher goal total.
Our model flags a disagreement with the market on "Red Bull Bragantino" (1X2): we rate it 47% versus the 44% implied by odds of 2.15, an edge of 2.4 points. That's where the market appears to underrate the true likelihood.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Red Bull Bragantino or Sport Club Internacional?
Our model rates Red Bull Bragantino as the most likely outcome at 47% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Red Bull Bragantino vs Sport Club Internacional?
A scoreline around 2-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 0 Red Bull Bragantino wins, 2 draws, 4 Sport Club Internacional wins.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.
Odds movement
League table
Brazil. Campeonato Brasileiro. Serie A| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 29:13 | 38 | |
| 2 | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 28:16 | 31 | |
| 3 | 17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 27:22 | 30 | |
| 4 | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 23:18 | 27 | |
| 5 | 17 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 22:18 | 26 | |
| 6 | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 24:21 | 26 | |
| 7 | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 23:19 | 25 | |
| 8 | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 23:22 | 23 | |
| 9 | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 23:27 | 23 | |
| 10 | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 30:29 | 22 | |
| 11 | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 20:22 | 22 | |
| 12 | 17 | 6 | 8 | 3 | 21:23 | 21 | |
| 13 | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 20:19 | 21 | |
| 14 | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 19:20 | 21 | |
| 15 | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 15:18 | 21 | |
| 16 | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 22:28 | 20 | |
| 17 | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 23:28 | 18 | |
| 18 | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 18:23 | 16 | |
| 19 | 17 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 20:29 | 15 | |
| 20 | 16 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 17:32 | 9 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.