Clube do Remo vs Sao Paulo: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Clube do Removs
Sao PauloOur model leans the draw (35% probability), low confidence.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +The odds point to a clear favourite.
- −Clube do Remo creates more chances (14 vs 11 shots per game).
- −Sao Paulo controls more of the ball (39% vs 55%).
- −Clube do Remo have home advantage.
Win probabilities
Expected goals
Most likely scorelines
Match DNA
Key points
- The odds point to a clear favourite.
- Clube do Remo creates more chances (14 vs 11 shots per game).
- Sao Paulo controls more of the ball (39% vs 55%).
- Clube do Remo have home advantage.
- Goals outlook: a tight, low-scoring game likely.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. "Value" means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 12 | 11 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 1 | 14 | 13 | 6 | 2 | ||
| 2 | 8 | 8 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | |||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Value radar
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply — a potential value spot.
Full analysis
The model blends the odds and season stats to frame this clash between Clube do Remo and Sao Paulo. After removing the bookmaker margin, the probabilities settle at 35% for Clube do Remo, 35% for the draw and 30% for Sao Paulo.
Several signals point toward the draw. The odds point to a clear favourite.
If the trend holds, a scoreline around 1-1 is plausible — treat it as a pointer, not a certainty.
The season numbers frame the tie. At home, Clube do Remo run at 1.0 goals per game, 14 shots, 39% possession across 7 matches. On the road, Sao Paulo post 1.0 goals per game, 11 shots, 55% possession over 9 outings. It's these measured gaps, not a hunch, that steer the call.
On the secondary markets, our model puts over 2.5 goals at 37% and both teams to score at 43%. The profile leans toward a tighter, lower-scoring game.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Clube do Remo or Sao Paulo?
Our model rates the draw as the most likely outcome at 35% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Clube do Remo vs Sao Paulo?
A scoreline around 1-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward under 2.5 goals.
League table
Brazil. Campeonato Brasileiro. Serie A| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Sociedade Esportiva Palmeiras | 17 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 29:13 | 38 |
| 2 |  Flamengo | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 28:16 | 31 |
| 3 |  Fluminense | 17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 27:22 | 30 |
| 4 |  Clube Atletico Paranaense | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 23:18 | 27 |
| 5 |  Red Bull Bragantino | 17 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 22:18 | 26 |
| 6 |  Coritiba | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 24:21 | 26 |
| 7 | Sao Paulo | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 23:19 | 25 |
| 8 |  Bahia | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 23:22 | 23 |
| 9 |  Cruzeiro Esporte Clube | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 23:27 | 23 |
| 10 |  Botafogo de Futebol e Regatas | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 30:29 | 22 |
| 11 |  EC Vitoria Salvador | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 20:22 | 22 |
| 12 |  Clube Atletico Mineiro | 17 | 6 | 8 | 3 | 21:23 | 21 |
| 13 |  Sport Club Internacional | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 20:19 | 21 |
| 14 |  Gremio Porto Alegrense | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 19:20 | 21 |
| 15 |  Corinthians Paulista | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 15:18 | 21 |
| 16 |  CR Vasco da Gama | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 22:28 | 20 |
| 17 |  Santos | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 23:28 | 18 |
| 18 |  Mirassol | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 18:23 | 16 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 17 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 20:29 | 15 |
| 20 |  Chapecoense | 16 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 17:32 | 9 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.