Avai vs Volta Redonda: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Avaivs
Volta RedondaOur model leans Avai (45% probability), high confidence.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +The head-to-head record favours Avai (2-2-1).
- +Recent form favours Avai.
- +Avai have home advantage.
Win probabilities
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- The head-to-head record favours Avai (2-2-1).
- Recent form favours Avai.
- Avai have home advantage.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 1 | 11 | 12 | 6 | 2 | ||
| 2 | 9 | 9 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 5 | 5 | 3 | |||
| 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model blends the odds, head-to-head history and recent form to frame this clash between Avai and Volta Redonda. After removing the bookmaker margin, the probabilities settle at 45% for Avai, 25% for the draw and 30% for Volta Redonda.
Several signals point toward Avai. The head-to-head record favours Avai (2-2-1). Recent form favours Avai. Avai have home advantage.
Across the last 5 meetings, the record reads 2 Avai wins, 2 draws and 1 Volta Redonda wins. Recent scorelines: 2-2, 3-0, 1-1, 4-1, 1-0.
On form, Avai show W-D-L-D-L across their recent outings, while Volta Redonda read L-D-L-D-W. Recent momentum carries weight in the assessment, particularly when combined with home advantage and the competition context.
On the secondary markets, our model puts over 2.5 goals at 48% and both teams to score at 51%. The totals market stays finely balanced.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Avai or Volta Redonda?
Our model rates Avai as the most likely outcome at 45% probability.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 5 meetings: 2 Avai wins, 2 draws, 1 Volta Redonda wins.
Match statistics
Match story
How the game unfoldedAvai make it count (Nunes Silva W. (9')). It's 1–0 at this point.
No goals but plenty of bite: 2 card(s) in this spell. Score holds at 1–0.
Half-time score: Avai 1 – 0 Volta Redonda.
Avai make it count (Thayllon (56'), Pena D (74')). It's 3–0 at this point.
A tense finish, but the scoreline stays put. (3–0)
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.