America de Cali vs Club Social y Deportivo Macara: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
America de Calivs
Club Social y Deportivo MacaraOur model leans America de Cali (56% probability), high confidence.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +The odds point to a clear favourite.
- +America de Cali have home advantage.
Win probabilities
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- The odds point to a clear favourite.
- America de Cali have home advantage.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. "Value" means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 6 | 3 | |||
| 1 | 13 | 11 | 5 | 1 | ||
| 2 | 11 | 10 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 3 | 7 | 6 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | |||
| 5 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Value radar
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply — a potential value spot.
Full analysis
The model blends the odds, head-to-head history and recent form to frame this clash between America de Cali and Club Social y Deportivo Macara. After removing the bookmaker margin, the probabilities settle at 56% for America de Cali, 18% for the draw and 26% for Club Social y Deportivo Macara.
Several signals point toward America de Cali. The odds point to a clear favourite. America de Cali have home advantage.
Across the last 1 meetings, the record reads 0 America de Cali wins, 1 draws and 0 Club Social y Deportivo Macara wins. Recent scorelines: 1-1.
If the trend holds, a scoreline around 2-1 is plausible — treat it as a pointer, not a certainty.
On form, America de Cali show D-L-D-W-L across their recent outings, while Club Social y Deportivo Macara read L-D-W-W-D. Recent momentum carries weight in the assessment, particularly when combined with home advantage and the competition context.
On the secondary markets, our model puts over 2.5 goals at 49% and both teams to score at 48%. The totals market stays finely balanced.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, America de Cali or Club Social y Deportivo Macara?
Our model rates America de Cali as the most likely outcome at 56% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for America de Cali vs Club Social y Deportivo Macara?
A scoreline around 2-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 1 meetings: 0 America de Cali wins, 1 draws, 0 Club Social y Deportivo Macara wins.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.