Club Atletico Tigre vs Alianza Atletico Sullana: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Club Atletico Tigrevs
Alianza Atletico SullanaOur model leans Club Atletico Tigre (75% probability), high confidence.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +The odds point to a clear favourite.
- −Recent form favours Alianza Atletico Sullana.
- +Club Atletico Tigre have home advantage.
Win probabilities
Value radar
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply — a potential value spot.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- The odds point to a clear favourite.
- Recent form favours Alianza Atletico Sullana.
- Club Atletico Tigre have home advantage.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. "Value" means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 4 | ||||
| 1 | 15 | 8 | 2 | |||
| 2 | 16 | 8 | 2 | |||
| 3 | 11 | 6 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 6 | 3 | ||||
| 5 | 3 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model blends the odds, head-to-head history and recent form to frame this clash between Club Atletico Tigre and Alianza Atletico Sullana. After removing the bookmaker margin, the probabilities settle at 75% for Club Atletico Tigre, 7% for the draw and 18% for Alianza Atletico Sullana.
Several signals point toward Club Atletico Tigre. The odds point to a clear favourite. Club Atletico Tigre have home advantage.
Across the last 1 meetings, the record reads 0 Club Atletico Tigre wins, 1 draws and 0 Alianza Atletico Sullana wins. Recent scorelines: 1-1.
If the trend holds, a scoreline around 2-1 is plausible — treat it as a pointer, not a certainty.
On form, Club Atletico Tigre show D-D-D-L-L across their recent outings, while Alianza Atletico Sullana read D-D-W-L-W. Recent momentum carries weight in the assessment, particularly when combined with home advantage and the competition context.
On the secondary markets, our model puts over 2.5 goals at 49% and both teams to score at 36%. The totals market stays finely balanced.
Our model flags a disagreement with the market on "Alianza Atletico Sullana" (1X2): we rate it 18% versus the 16% implied by odds of 6.05, an edge of 2.4 points. That's where the market appears to underrate the true likelihood.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Club Atletico Tigre or Alianza Atletico Sullana?
Our model rates Club Atletico Tigre as the most likely outcome at 75% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Club Atletico Tigre vs Alianza Atletico Sullana?
A scoreline around 2-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 1 meetings: 0 Club Atletico Tigre wins, 1 draws, 0 Alianza Atletico Sullana wins.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.