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Finland. Ykkosliiga

Klubi-04 vs PK-35 Helsinki: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

Klubi-04 Klubi-04vsPK-35 Helsinki PK-35 Helsinki
Our predictionDraw
Confidence: Medium · 52/100
Score hint: 1-1

Our model leans the draw (54% probability), medium confidence.

Why this prediction

+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.

Win probabilities

1 · Klubi-0412%
Draw54%
2 · PK-35 Helsinki34%
1 · Klubi-04Draw2 · PK-35 Helsinki
Full team comparison

Value radar

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply — a potential value spot.

O/U 2.5Over 2.53.20+8.4%
1X2PK-35 Helsinki3.22+5.2%
1X2Klubi-047.58-0.2%
1X2Draw1.59-5.0%
O/U 2.5Under 2.51.32-15.4%
Our model BookmakerPositive edge = potential value. Not betting advice.

Recent form

Klubi-04LDDDL
PK-35 HelsinkiWDLWL

Expected goals

0.94Klubi-04
xG
1.34PK-35 Helsinki
Over 2.5 goals40%
Both teams to score45%
Team strength rating
Klubi-04
24
PK-35 Helsinki
54

Most likely scorelines

0-113.7%
1-112.9%
0-010.3%
1-09.7%
0-29.2%
1-28.6%

Match DNA

AttackDefenseFormStrengthH2HVenue
Klubi-04 PK-35 Helsinki

Key points

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment
1X2Draw1.59Avoid (-5.0%)
Total goalsUnder 2.51.32Fair

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. "Value" means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A012345
01014941
11013941
25642
3121
4
5

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Full analysis

The model blends the odds, head-to-head history and recent form to frame this clash between Klubi-04 and PK-35 Helsinki. After removing the bookmaker margin, the probabilities settle at 12% for Klubi-04, 54% for the draw and 34% for PK-35 Helsinki.

Several signals point toward the draw. The odds point to a clear favourite.

Across the last 6 meetings, the record reads 0 Klubi-04 wins, 4 draws and 2 PK-35 Helsinki wins. Recent scorelines: 2-2, 2-1, 1-1, 1-1, 1-1.

If the trend holds, a scoreline around 1-1 is plausible — treat it as a pointer, not a certainty.

On form, Klubi-04 show L-D-D-D-L across their recent outings, while PK-35 Helsinki read W-D-L-W-L. Recent momentum carries weight in the assessment, particularly when combined with home advantage and the competition context.

On the secondary markets, our model puts over 2.5 goals at 40% and both teams to score at 45%. The profile leans toward a tighter, lower-scoring game.

Our model flags a disagreement with the market on "Over 2.5" (O/U 2.5): we rate it 40% versus the 31% implied by odds of 3.20, an edge of 8.4 points. That's where the market appears to underrate the true likelihood.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, Klubi-04 or PK-35 Helsinki?

Our model rates the draw as the most likely outcome at 54% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for Klubi-04 vs PK-35 Helsinki?

A scoreline around 1-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

What's the head-to-head record?

In the last 6 meetings: 0 Klubi-04 wins, 4 draws, 2 PK-35 Helsinki wins.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

The indicators lean toward under 2.5 goals.

See odds at bookmakers

Match statistics

Referee: 64e4d9e494fca712b4a84d62
63
Possession
37
12
Total shots
6
4
Shots on target
1
5
Corners
6
2
Yellow cards
1
0
Offsides
0
8
Fouls
6
46'Tolonen M.
Haapanen🟨48'
50'Pitkala
53'🟨Forsstrom
58'🟨Tiago Vieira dos Santos
62'🟥Forsstrom
Unknown🟨62'
63'Andberg T.

Match story

How the game unfolded
0–15'00

Cautious start, both sides feeling each other out. (0–0)

15–45'00

A controlled first-half spell with few clear chances. (0–0)

Half-time

Half-time score: Klubi-04 0 – 0 PK-35 Helsinki.

45–75'00

No goals but plenty of bite: 5 card(s) in this spell. Score holds at 0–0.

46'Tolonen M.48'🟨Haapanen50'Pitkala53'🟨Forsstrom58'🟨Tiago Vieira dos Santos62'🟥Forsstrom62'🟨Unknown63'Andberg T.
75–90'+00

A tense finish, but the scoreline stays put. (0–0)

Full time: Klubi-04 00 PK-35 Helsinki

League table

Finland. Ykkosliiga
#TeamGPWLTGPts
1KTP Kotka75118:616
2JIPPO84139:415
3PK-35 Helsinki84229:514
4JaPS84317:813
5Haka731313:712
6Ekenas844017:1612
7KaPa82338:109
8Mikkelin Palloilijat83506:99
9SJK Akatemia81524:115
10Klubi-0480535:103
Promotion - Jupiler League Promotion - Higher League (Promotion) Finland. Ykkosliiga (Relegation (Play-off)) Relegation - Division 1

Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.