Klubi-04 vs PK-35 Helsinki: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Our model leans the draw (54% probability), medium confidence.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +The odds point to a clear favourite.
- −The head-to-head record favours PK-35 Helsinki (0-4-2).
- −Recent form favours PK-35 Helsinki.
- −Klubi-04 have home advantage.
Win probabilities
Value radar
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply — a potential value spot.
Recent form
Expected goals
Most likely scorelines
Match DNA
Key points
- The odds point to a clear favourite.
- The head-to-head record favours PK-35 Helsinki (0-4-2).
- Recent form favours PK-35 Helsinki.
- Klubi-04 have home advantage.
- Goals outlook: a tight, low-scoring game likely.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. "Value" means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 10 | 14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | |
| 1 | 10 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 1 | |
| 2 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model blends the odds, head-to-head history and recent form to frame this clash between Klubi-04 and PK-35 Helsinki. After removing the bookmaker margin, the probabilities settle at 12% for Klubi-04, 54% for the draw and 34% for PK-35 Helsinki.
Several signals point toward the draw. The odds point to a clear favourite.
Across the last 6 meetings, the record reads 0 Klubi-04 wins, 4 draws and 2 PK-35 Helsinki wins. Recent scorelines: 2-2, 2-1, 1-1, 1-1, 1-1.
If the trend holds, a scoreline around 1-1 is plausible — treat it as a pointer, not a certainty.
On form, Klubi-04 show L-D-D-D-L across their recent outings, while PK-35 Helsinki read W-D-L-W-L. Recent momentum carries weight in the assessment, particularly when combined with home advantage and the competition context.
On the secondary markets, our model puts over 2.5 goals at 40% and both teams to score at 45%. The profile leans toward a tighter, lower-scoring game.
Our model flags a disagreement with the market on "Over 2.5" (O/U 2.5): we rate it 40% versus the 31% implied by odds of 3.20, an edge of 8.4 points. That's where the market appears to underrate the true likelihood.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Klubi-04 or PK-35 Helsinki?
Our model rates the draw as the most likely outcome at 54% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Klubi-04 vs PK-35 Helsinki?
A scoreline around 1-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 0 Klubi-04 wins, 4 draws, 2 PK-35 Helsinki wins.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward under 2.5 goals.
Match statistics
Referee: 64e4d9e494fca712b4a84d62Match story
How the game unfoldedCautious start, both sides feeling each other out. (0–0)
A controlled first-half spell with few clear chances. (0–0)
Half-time score: Klubi-04 0 – 0 PK-35 Helsinki.
No goals but plenty of bite: 5 card(s) in this spell. Score holds at 0–0.
A tense finish, but the scoreline stays put. (0–0)
League table
Finland. Ykkosliiga| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 8:6 | 16 | |
| 2 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 9:4 | 15 | |
| 3 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9:5 | 14 | |
| 4 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 7:8 | 13 | |
| 5 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 13:7 | 12 | |
| 6 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 17:16 | 12 | |
| 7 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8:10 | 9 | |
| 8 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 6:9 | 9 | |
| 9 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 4:11 | 5 | |
| 10 | 8 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 5:10 | 3 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.