Fredrikstad vs IK Start: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

Full analysis

The model blends the odds, head-to-head history and recent form to frame this clash between Fredrikstad and IK Start. After removing the bookmaker margin, the probabilities settle at 56% for Fredrikstad, 21% for the draw and 24% for IK Start.

Several signals point toward Fredrikstad. The odds point to a clear favourite. The head-to-head record favours Fredrikstad (3-2-1). IK Start are dealing with notable absentees.

Across the last 6 meetings, the record reads 3 Fredrikstad wins, 2 draws and 1 IK Start wins. Recent scorelines: 2-2, 3-1, 1-0, 1-0, 2-6.

If the trend holds, a scoreline around 2-1 is plausible — treat it as a pointer, not a certainty.

On form, Fredrikstad show D-L-L-L-W across their recent outings, while IK Start read L-W-L-D-L. Recent momentum carries weight in the assessment, particularly when combined with home advantage and the competition context.

On the secondary markets, our model puts over 2.5 goals at 49% and both teams to score at 47%. The totals market stays finely balanced.

Our model flags a disagreement with the market on "Fredrikstad" (1X2): we rate it 56% versus the 54% implied by odds of 1.77, an edge of 2.2 points. That's where the market appears to underrate the true likelihood.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.