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Norway. Eliteserien

Rosenborg vs Bodo-Glimt: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

Rosenborg RosenborgvsBodo-Glimt Bodo-Glimt
Our predictionDraw
Confidence: Medium · 60/100
Score hint: 1-1

Our model leans the draw (53% probability), medium confidence.

Why this prediction

+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.

Win probabilities

1 · Rosenborg19%
Draw53%
2 · Bodo-Glimt28%
1 · RosenborgDraw2 · Bodo-Glimt
Full team comparison

Value radar

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply — a potential value spot.

1X2Bodo-Glimt4.52+6.9%
1X2Rosenborg4.92-0.1%
1X2Draw1.59-6.8%
Our model BookmakerPositive edge = potential value. Not betting advice.

Recent form

RosenborgLLWLD
Bodo-GlimtWWWWL
Team strength rating
Rosenborg
29
Bodo-Glimt
60

Most likely scorelines

1-112.6%
0-110.1%
1-09.4%
1-28.4%
2-17.8%
0-07.5%

Expected goals

1.25Rosenborg
xG
1.34Bodo-Glimt
Over 2.5 goals48%
Both teams to score53%

Match DNA

AttackDefenseFormStrengthH2HVenue
Rosenborg Bodo-Glimt

Key points

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment
1X2Draw1.59Avoid (-6.8%)

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. "Value" means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A012345
0810731
1913841
26852
3232
41
5

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Full analysis

The model blends the odds, head-to-head history and recent form to frame this clash between Rosenborg and Bodo-Glimt. After removing the bookmaker margin, the probabilities settle at 19% for Rosenborg, 53% for the draw and 28% for Bodo-Glimt.

Several signals point toward the draw. The odds point to a clear favourite.

Across the last 6 meetings, the record reads 1 Rosenborg wins, 2 draws and 3 Bodo-Glimt wins. Recent scorelines: 1-1, 4-0, 2-3, 1-3, 1-1.

If the trend holds, a scoreline around 1-1 is plausible — treat it as a pointer, not a certainty.

On form, Rosenborg show L-L-W-L-D across their recent outings, while Bodo-Glimt read W-W-W-W-L. Recent momentum carries weight in the assessment, particularly when combined with home advantage and the competition context.

On the secondary markets, our model puts over 2.5 goals at 48% and both teams to score at 53%. The totals market stays finely balanced.

Our model flags a disagreement with the market on "Bodo-Glimt" (1X2): we rate it 28% versus the 21% implied by odds of 4.52, an edge of 6.9 points. That's where the market appears to underrate the true likelihood.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, Rosenborg or Bodo-Glimt?

Our model rates the draw as the most likely outcome at 53% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for Rosenborg vs Bodo-Glimt?

A scoreline around 1-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

What's the head-to-head record?

In the last 6 meetings: 1 Rosenborg wins, 2 draws, 3 Bodo-Glimt wins.

See odds at bookmakers

League table

Norway. Eliteserien
#TeamGPWLTGPts
1Viking1091029:1027
2Tromso1272318:1424
3Bodo-Glimt1072126:922
4Lillestrom1164117:1119
5Molde1054116:1216
6HamKam953115:1416
7Sandefjord104429:1114
8Brann1146123:1813
9Sarpsborg 081035211:1511
10KFUM-Kameratene1035212:1711
11Kristiansund BK1035210:1511
12Fredrikstad1035213:1911
13Valerenga1035210:1611
14Aalesunds1024413:1810
15Rosenborg102627:168
16IK Start1116412:267
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Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.