KFUM-Kameratene vs Tromso: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Our model leans the draw (38% probability), low confidence.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +The odds point to a clear favourite.
- −Recent form favours KFUM-Kameratene.
- +The head-to-head history is finely balanced.
- −KFUM-Kameratene are dealing with notable absentees.
- −Tromso are dealing with notable absentees.
- −KFUM-Kameratene have home advantage.
Win probabilities
Value radar
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply — a potential value spot.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- The odds point to a clear favourite.
- Recent form favours KFUM-Kameratene.
- The head-to-head history is finely balanced.
- KFUM-Kameratene are dealing with notable absentees.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. "Value" means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 1 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 3 | ||
| 2 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 4 | 5 | 3 | |||
| 4 | 1 | 2 | ||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model blends the odds, head-to-head history and recent form to frame this clash between KFUM-Kameratene and Tromso. After removing the bookmaker margin, the probabilities settle at 35% for KFUM-Kameratene, 38% for the draw and 27% for Tromso.
Several signals point toward the draw. The odds point to a clear favourite. The head-to-head history is finely balanced.
Across the last 6 meetings, the record reads 3 KFUM-Kameratene wins, 0 draws and 3 Tromso wins. Recent scorelines: 2-1, 2-0, 1-3, 0-1, 0-1.
If the trend holds, a scoreline around 1-1 is plausible — treat it as a pointer, not a certainty.
On form, KFUM-Kameratene show W-L-L-D-W across their recent outings, while Tromso read D-L-W-D-L. Recent momentum carries weight in the assessment, particularly when combined with home advantage and the competition context.
On the secondary markets, our model puts over 2.5 goals at 48% and both teams to score at 52%. The totals market stays finely balanced.
Our model flags a disagreement with the market on "KFUM-Kameratene" (1X2): we rate it 35% versus the 33% implied by odds of 2.88, an edge of 2.4 points. That's where the market appears to underrate the true likelihood.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, KFUM-Kameratene or Tromso?
Our model rates the draw as the most likely outcome at 38% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for KFUM-Kameratene vs Tromso?
A scoreline around 1-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 3 KFUM-Kameratene wins, 0 draws, 3 Tromso wins.
League table
Norway. Eliteserien| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 29:10 | 27 | |
| 2 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 18:14 | 24 | |
| 3 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 26:9 | 22 | |
| 4 | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 17:11 | 19 | |
| 5 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 16:12 | 16 | |
| 6 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 15:14 | 16 | |
| 7 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 9:11 | 14 | |
| 8 | 11 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 23:18 | 13 | |
| 9 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 11:15 | 11 | |
| 10 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 12:17 | 11 | |
| 11 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 10:15 | 11 | |
| 12 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 13:19 | 11 | |
| 13 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 10:16 | 11 | |
| 14 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 13:18 | 10 | |
| 15 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 7:16 | 8 | |
| 16 | 11 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 12:26 | 7 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.