Knattspyrnufelagið Þrottur vs Grotta: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Knattspyrnufelagið Þrotturvs
GrottaOur model leans Grotta (40% probability), low confidence.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Grotta.
- −The head-to-head history is finely balanced.
- −Knattspyrnufelagið Þrottur have home advantage.
Win probabilities
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- The odds point to a clear favourite.
- Recent form favours Grotta.
- The head-to-head history is finely balanced.
- Knattspyrnufelagið Þrottur have home advantage.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. "Value" means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 2 | ||
| 1 | 10 | 13 | 8 | 3 | 1 | |
| 2 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 3 | 4 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 1 | 1 | ||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Value radar
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply — a potential value spot.
Full analysis
The model blends the odds, head-to-head history and recent form to frame this clash between Knattspyrnufelagið Þrottur and Grotta. After removing the bookmaker margin, the probabilities settle at 39% for Knattspyrnufelagið Þrottur, 21% for the draw and 40% for Grotta.
Several signals point toward Grotta. Recent form favours Grotta.
Across the last 6 meetings, the record reads 2 Knattspyrnufelagið Þrottur wins, 3 draws and 1 Grotta wins. Recent scorelines: 3-1, 1-1, 2-2, 2-1, 1-2.
If the trend holds, a scoreline around 1-2 is plausible — treat it as a pointer, not a certainty.
On form, Knattspyrnufelagið Þrottur show L-D-L-W-W across their recent outings, while Grotta read W-L-W-W-L. Recent momentum carries weight in the assessment, particularly when combined with home advantage and the competition context.
On the secondary markets, our model puts over 2.5 goals at 48% and both teams to score at 53%. The totals market stays finely balanced.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Knattspyrnufelagið Þrottur or Grotta?
Our model rates Grotta as the most likely outcome at 40% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Knattspyrnufelagið Þrottur vs Grotta?
A scoreline around 1-2 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 2 Knattspyrnufelagið Þrottur wins, 3 draws, 1 Grotta wins.
Match statistics
Match story
How the game unfoldedKnattspyrnufelagið Þrottur make it count (Sigurdsson (7')). It's 1–0 at this point.
An end-to-end spell with goals at both ends (Jonasson (25'), Orn Bragi Hinriksson (27')). Score moves to 2–1.
Half-time score: Knattspyrnufelagið Þrottur 2 – 1 Grotta.
Grotta make it count (Jonasson (48')). It's 2–2 at this point.
A tense finish, but the scoreline stays put. (2–2)
League table
Iceland. 1. Deild| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Fylkir | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8:3 | 12 |
| 2 | Knattspyrnufelagið Þrottur | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 12:6 | 10 |
| 3 |  Ungmennafelagid Afturelding | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 14:11 | 10 |
| 4 |  HK Kopavogur | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 12:9 | 9 |
| 5 |  Iþrottafelag Reykjavikur | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 14:12 | 7 |
| 6 |  Grindavik | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6:4 | 7 |
| 7 |  Vestri | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10:12 | 7 |
| 8 |  Leiknir Reykjavík | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4:6 | 6 |
| 9 | Grotta | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 9:12 | 6 |
| 10 |  Ungmennafelag Njardvikur | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2:4 | 5 |
| 11 |  Iþrottafelagið Volsungur | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2:8 | 2 |
| 12 |  KF Aegir Thorlakshofn | 5 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 2:8 | 1 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.