Fylkir vs Leiknir Reykjavík: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

Full analysis

The model blends the odds, head-to-head history and recent form to frame this clash between Fylkir and Leiknir Reykjavík. After removing the bookmaker margin, the probabilities settle at 76% for Fylkir, 5% for the draw and 19% for Leiknir Reykjavík.

Several signals point toward Fylkir. The odds point to a clear favourite. Fylkir have home advantage.

Across the last 6 meetings, the record reads 1 Fylkir wins, 1 draws and 4 Leiknir Reykjavík wins. Recent scorelines: 0-3, 1-0, 1-2, 5-2, 0-0.

If the trend holds, a scoreline around 1-0 is plausible — treat it as a pointer, not a certainty.

On form, Fylkir show W-L-L-L-L across their recent outings, while Leiknir Reykjavík read D-D-W-W-D. Recent momentum carries weight in the assessment, particularly when combined with home advantage and the competition context.

On the secondary markets, our model puts over 2.5 goals at 42% and both teams to score at 32%. The profile leans toward a tighter, lower-scoring game.

Our model flags a disagreement with the market on "Leiknir Reykjavík" (1X2): we rate it 19% versus the 13% implied by odds of 7.41, an edge of 6.7 points. That's where the market appears to underrate the true likelihood.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.