Haka vs JIPPO: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Hakavs
JIPPOOur model leans Haka (46% probability), medium confidence.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +The odds point to a clear favourite.
- +The head-to-head record favours Haka (4-1-1).
- −Recent form favours JIPPO.
- +Haka have home advantage.
Win probabilities
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- The odds point to a clear favourite.
- The head-to-head record favours Haka (4-1-1).
- Recent form favours JIPPO.
- Haka have home advantage.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. "Value" means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 1 | 11 | 12 | 6 | 2 | ||
| 2 | 9 | 9 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 5 | 5 | 3 | |||
| 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Value radar
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply — a potential value spot.
Full analysis
The model blends the odds, head-to-head history and recent form to frame this clash between Haka and JIPPO. After removing the bookmaker margin, the probabilities settle at 46% for Haka, 23% for the draw and 31% for JIPPO.
Several signals point toward Haka. The odds point to a clear favourite. The head-to-head record favours Haka (4-1-1). Haka have home advantage.
Across the last 6 meetings, the record reads 4 Haka wins, 1 draws and 1 JIPPO wins. Recent scorelines: 0-2, 1-1, 5-0, 1-4, 0-4.
If the trend holds, a scoreline around 2-1 is plausible — treat it as a pointer, not a certainty.
On form, Haka show L-W-D-W-L across their recent outings, while JIPPO read W-W-D-W-L. Recent momentum carries weight in the assessment, particularly when combined with home advantage and the competition context.
On the secondary markets, our model puts over 2.5 goals at 49% and both teams to score at 51%. The totals market stays finely balanced.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Haka or JIPPO?
Our model rates Haka as the most likely outcome at 46% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Haka vs JIPPO?
A scoreline around 2-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 4 Haka wins, 1 draws, 1 JIPPO wins.
League table
Finland. Ykkosliiga| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  PK-35 Helsinki | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 10:5 | 17 |
| 2 |  KTP Kotka | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 8:6 | 16 |
| 3 | JIPPO | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 9:4 | 15 |
| 4 |  JaPS | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 7:8 | 13 |
| 5 | Haka | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 13:7 | 12 |
| 6 |  Ekenas | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 17:16 | 12 |
| 7 |  KaPa | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8:10 | 9 |
| 8 |  Mikkelin Palloilijat | 8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 6:9 | 9 |
| 9 |  SJK Akatemia | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 4:11 | 5 |
| 10 |  Klubi-04 | 9 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 5:11 | 3 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.