Damash Gilan vs Naft Gachsaran: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Damash Gilanvs
Naft GachsaranOur model leans Damash Gilan (39% probability), low confidence.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −The head-to-head record favours Naft Gachsaran (0-3-2).
- +Damash Gilan have home advantage.
Win probabilities
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- The head-to-head record favours Naft Gachsaran (0-3-2).
- Damash Gilan have home advantage.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 1 | 10 | 12 | 7 | 3 | ||
| 2 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 3 | 4 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 1 | 1 | ||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model blends the odds, head-to-head history and recent form to frame this clash between Damash Gilan and Naft Gachsaran. After removing the bookmaker margin, the probabilities settle at 39% for Damash Gilan, 26% for the draw and 36% for Naft Gachsaran.
Several signals point toward Damash Gilan. Damash Gilan have home advantage.
Across the last 5 meetings, the record reads 0 Damash Gilan wins, 3 draws and 2 Naft Gachsaran wins. Recent scorelines: 1-0, 1-1, 1-1, 1-1, 3-0.
On form, Damash Gilan show L-L-W-D-L across their recent outings, while Naft Gachsaran read L-D-L-D-W. Recent momentum carries weight in the assessment, particularly when combined with home advantage and the competition context.
On the secondary markets, our model puts over 2.5 goals at 48% and both teams to score at 53%. The totals market stays finely balanced.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Damash Gilan or Naft Gachsaran?
Our model rates Damash Gilan as the most likely outcome at 39% probability.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 5 meetings: 0 Damash Gilan wins, 3 draws, 2 Naft Gachsaran wins.
Match statistics
Match story
How the game unfoldedCautious start, both sides feeling each other out. (0–0)
A controlled first-half spell with few clear chances. (0–0)
Half-time score: Damash Gilan 0 – 0 Naft Gachsaran.
Naft Gachsaran make it count (Amir Mohammad Monsef (56')). It's 0–1 at this point.
A tense finish, but the scoreline stays put. (0–1)
League table
Iran. Azadegan League| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Mes Shahr-e Babak | 25 | 14 | 2 | 9 | 26:11 | 51 |
| 2 |  Nassaji Mazandaran | 25 | 14 | 3 | 8 | 35:11 | 50 |
| 3 |  Sanat Naft Abadan | 25 | 11 | 4 | 10 | 26:14 | 43 |
| 4 |  Pars Jonoubi Jam | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 28:20 | 39 |
| 5 |  Saipa | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 21:15 | 39 |
| 6 |  Havadar | 25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 20:16 | 34 |
| 7 |  Sanat Mes Kerman | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 14:12 | 34 |
| 8 |  Fard Alborz | 25 | 6 | 4 | 15 | 11:8 | 33 |
| 9 |  Palayesh Naft Bandar Abbas | 25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 19:17 | 32 |
| 10 |  Niroye Zamini | 25 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 24:21 | 30 |
| 11 |  Besat Kermanshah | 25 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 21:22 | 30 |
| 12 |  Ario Eslamshahr | 25 | 6 | 8 | 11 | 11:13 | 29 |
| 13 | Naft Gachsaran | 25 | 6 | 8 | 11 | 20:26 | 29 |
| 14 |  Shahrdari Nowshahr | 25 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 14:20 | 25 |
| 15 |  Shenavar Sazi Qeshm | 25 | 5 | 11 | 9 | 11:23 | 24 |
| 16 |  Kara Gostar | 25 | 6 | 13 | 6 | 11:29 | 24 |
| 17 |  Navad Urmia | 25 | 4 | 11 | 10 | 15:27 | 22 |
| 18 | Damash Gilan | 25 | 2 | 13 | 10 | 13:35 | 16 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.