Monterey Bay vs Loudoun United: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Monterey Bayvs
Loudoun UnitedOur model leans Monterey Bay (41% probability), medium confidence.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +The head-to-head record favours Monterey Bay (2-0-1).
- −Recent form favours Loudoun United.
- +Monterey Bay have home advantage.
Win probabilities
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- The head-to-head record favours Monterey Bay (2-0-1).
- Recent form favours Loudoun United.
- Monterey Bay have home advantage.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 1 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 3 | ||
| 2 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 4 | 4 | 3 | |||
| 4 | 1 | 2 | ||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model blends the odds, head-to-head history and recent form to frame this clash between Monterey Bay and Loudoun United. After removing the bookmaker margin, the probabilities settle at 41% for Monterey Bay, 25% for the draw and 34% for Loudoun United.
Several signals point toward Monterey Bay. The head-to-head record favours Monterey Bay (2-0-1). Monterey Bay have home advantage.
Across the last 3 meetings, the record reads 2 Monterey Bay wins, 0 draws and 1 Loudoun United wins. Recent scorelines: 3-0, 4-1, 0-1.
On form, Monterey Bay show L-L-L-W-L across their recent outings, while Loudoun United read D-W-D-W-D. Recent momentum carries weight in the assessment, particularly when combined with home advantage and the competition context.
On the secondary markets, our model puts over 2.5 goals at 48% and both teams to score at 52%. The totals market stays finely balanced.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Monterey Bay or Loudoun United?
Our model rates Monterey Bay as the most likely outcome at 41% probability.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 3 meetings: 2 Monterey Bay wins, 0 draws, 1 Loudoun United wins.
Match statistics
Referee: 5fb989adf75a663f699e477aMatch story
How the game unfoldedMonterey Bay make it count (Bidois (5'), Leggett (11')). It's 2–0 at this point.
A controlled first-half spell with few clear chances. (2–0)
Half-time score: Monterey Bay 2 – 0 Loudoun United.
Loudoun United make it count (Ordonez (47')). It's 2–1 at this point.
Monterey Bay make it count (Nadje (86')). It's 3–1 at this point.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.