Ilbirs vs Abdysh-Ata Kant: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Ilbirsvs
Abdysh-Ata KantOur model leans Ilbirs (39% probability), low confidence.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −The head-to-head record favours Abdysh-Ata Kant (0-2-4).
- +Ilbirs have home advantage.
Win probabilities
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- The head-to-head record favours Abdysh-Ata Kant (0-2-4).
- Ilbirs have home advantage.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 1 | 10 | 12 | 8 | 3 | ||
| 2 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 3 | 4 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 1 | 1 | ||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model blends the odds, head-to-head history and recent form to frame this clash between Ilbirs and Abdysh-Ata Kant. After removing the bookmaker margin, the probabilities settle at 39% for Ilbirs, 25% for the draw and 36% for Abdysh-Ata Kant.
Several signals point toward Ilbirs. Ilbirs have home advantage.
Across the last 6 meetings, the record reads 0 Ilbirs wins, 2 draws and 4 Abdysh-Ata Kant wins. Recent scorelines: 2-2, 2-0, 0-0, 5-1, 0-5.
On form, Ilbirs show L-D-D-L-D across their recent outings, while Abdysh-Ata Kant read L-W-L-L-W. Recent momentum carries weight in the assessment, particularly when combined with home advantage and the competition context.
On the secondary markets, our model puts over 2.5 goals at 48% and both teams to score at 53%. The totals market stays finely balanced.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Ilbirs or Abdysh-Ata Kant?
Our model rates Ilbirs as the most likely outcome at 39% probability.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 0 Ilbirs wins, 2 draws, 4 Abdysh-Ata Kant wins.
Match statistics
Match story
How the game unfoldedIlbirs make it count (Unknown (2')). It's 1–0 at this point.
A controlled first-half spell with few clear chances. (1–0)
Half-time score: Ilbirs 1 – 0 Abdysh-Ata Kant.
The game settles after the break without a breakthrough. (1–0)
A tense finish, but the scoreline stays put. (1–0)
League table
Kyrgyzstan Championship. Premier League| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Muras United | 10 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 21:7 | 26 |
| 2 |  Asia Talas | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 28:17 | 26 |
| 3 |  Alga Bishkek | 11 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 23:10 | 25 |
| 4 |  Bars Karakol | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 19:10 | 20 |
| 5 |  Ozgon | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 19:11 | 20 |
| 6 |  Alay | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 14:11 | 19 |
| 7 |  OShMu-Aldier | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 13:16 | 14 |
| 8 |  Neftci Kockor-Ata | 11 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 13:17 | 13 |
| 9 |  Bishkek City | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 10:13 | 12 |
| 10 |  Toktogul | 11 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 11:18 | 12 |
| 11 |  Talant Besh-Kungoy | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12:13 | 10 |
| 12 | Ilbirs | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 11:14 | 10 |
| 13 |  Dordoi Bishkek | 11 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 12:17 | 10 |
| 14 |  Asiagoal | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 11:17 | 10 |
| 15 | Abdysh-Ata Kant | 10 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 7:19 | 3 |
| 16 |  Kyrgyzaltyn | 11 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 9:23 | 2 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.