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Sweden. Allsvenskan

Vasteras SK vs Goteborg: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

Vasteras SK Vasteras SKvsGoteborg Goteborg
Our predictionVasteras SK to win
Confidence: Medium · 36/100
Score hint: 2-1

Our model leans Vasteras SK (37% probability), medium confidence.

Why this prediction

+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.

Win probabilities

1 · Vasteras SK37%
Draw32%
2 · Goteborg30%
1 · Vasteras SKDraw2 · Goteborg
Full team comparison

Value radar

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply — a potential value spot.

1X2Goteborg3.34+2.5%
1X2Vasteras SK2.59+1.3%
1X2Draw2.59-3.7%
Our model BookmakerPositive edge = potential value. Not betting advice.
Team strength rating
Vasteras SK
50
Goteborg
47

Most likely scorelines

1-112.4%
1-010.7%
2-19.0%
0-18.5%
2-07.8%
0-07.4%

Recent form

Vasteras SKWDLLW
GoteborgDWLLD

Expected goals

1.46Vasteras SK
xG
1.15Goteborg
Over 2.5 goals48%
Both teams to score52%

Match DNA

AttackDefenseFormStrengthH2HVenue
Vasteras SK Goteborg

Key points

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment
1X2Vasteras SK win2.59Fair (+1.3%)
Double chanceVasteras SK or drawInfo

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. "Value" means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A012345
07852
1111273
28952
3443
412
5

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Full analysis

The model blends the odds, head-to-head history and recent form to frame this clash between Vasteras SK and Goteborg. After removing the bookmaker margin, the probabilities settle at 37% for Vasteras SK, 32% for the draw and 30% for Goteborg.

Several signals point toward Vasteras SK. The odds point to a clear favourite. Recent form favours Vasteras SK. Goteborg are dealing with notable absentees.

Across the last 3 meetings, the record reads 0 Vasteras SK wins, 2 draws and 1 Goteborg wins. Recent scorelines: 1-1, 1-1, 2-0.

If the trend holds, a scoreline around 2-1 is plausible — treat it as a pointer, not a certainty.

On form, Vasteras SK show W-D-L-L-W across their recent outings, while Goteborg read D-W-L-L-D. Recent momentum carries weight in the assessment, particularly when combined with home advantage and the competition context.

On the secondary markets, our model puts over 2.5 goals at 48% and both teams to score at 52%. The totals market stays finely balanced.

Our model flags a disagreement with the market on "Goteborg" (1X2): we rate it 30% versus the 28% implied by odds of 3.34, an edge of 2.5 points. That's where the market appears to underrate the true likelihood.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, Vasteras SK or Goteborg?

Our model rates Vasteras SK as the most likely outcome at 37% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for Vasteras SK vs Goteborg?

A scoreline around 2-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

What's the head-to-head record?

In the last 3 meetings: 0 Vasteras SK wins, 2 draws, 1 Goteborg wins.

See odds at bookmakers

League table

Sweden. Allsvenskan
#TeamGPWLTGPts
1Sirius980124:1025
2Elfsborg1141616:1118
3Hammarby1053222:1017
4Hacken940517:1217
5Mjallby1043314:1115
6Brommapojkarna943213:1414
7Djurgardens944119:1313
8GAIS1034313:1112
9AIK933312:1312
10Vasteras SK933313:1712
11Kalmar935111:1210
12Malmo935115:1810
13Degerfors924310:149
14Goteborg91448:187
15Halmstads91537:156
16Orgryte1016310:256
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification) Promotion - UEFA Conference League (Qualification) Higher League (Relegation. Play-offs) Relegation - First League

Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.