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Sweden. Allsvenskan

Degerfors vs Brommapojkarna: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

Degerfors DegerforsvsBrommapojkarna Brommapojkarna
Our predictionDegerfors to win
Confidence: Medium · 49/100
Score hint: 2-1

Our model leans Degerfors (41% probability), medium confidence.

Why this prediction

+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.

Win probabilities

1 · Degerfors41%
Draw28%
2 · Brommapojkarna31%
1 · DegerforsDraw2 · Brommapojkarna
Full team comparison

Value radar

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply — a potential value spot.

1X2Degerfors2.41+2.4%
1X2Brommapojkarna3.16+1.1%
1X2Draw2.97-3.5%
Our model BookmakerPositive edge = potential value. Not betting advice.

Recent form

DegerforsLDWDD
BrommapojkarnaWLLWW
Team strength rating
Degerfors
58
Brommapojkarna
49

Most likely scorelines

1-112.2%
1-011.1%
2-19.2%
2-08.3%
0-18.1%
0-07.3%

Expected goals

1.51Degerfors
xG
1.11Brommapojkarna
Over 2.5 goals48%
Both teams to score52%

Match DNA

AttackDefenseFormStrengthH2HVenue
Degerfors Brommapojkarna

Key points

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment
1X2Degerfors win2.41Fair (+2.4%)
Double chanceDegerfors or drawInfo

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. "Value" means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A012345
07842
1111272
28952
3453
422
5

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Full analysis

The model blends the odds, head-to-head history and recent form to frame this clash between Degerfors and Brommapojkarna. After removing the bookmaker margin, the probabilities settle at 41% for Degerfors, 28% for the draw and 31% for Brommapojkarna.

Several signals point toward Degerfors. The odds point to a clear favourite. The head-to-head record favours Degerfors (5-0-1). Brommapojkarna are dealing with notable absentees.

Across the last 6 meetings, the record reads 5 Degerfors wins, 0 draws and 1 Brommapojkarna wins. Recent scorelines: 1-3, 0-3, 2-0, 1-2, 2-1.

If the trend holds, a scoreline around 2-1 is plausible — treat it as a pointer, not a certainty.

On form, Degerfors show L-D-W-D-D across their recent outings, while Brommapojkarna read W-L-L-W-W. Recent momentum carries weight in the assessment, particularly when combined with home advantage and the competition context.

On the secondary markets, our model puts over 2.5 goals at 48% and both teams to score at 52%. The totals market stays finely balanced.

Our model flags a disagreement with the market on "Degerfors" (1X2): we rate it 41% versus the 39% implied by odds of 2.41, an edge of 2.4 points. That's where the market appears to underrate the true likelihood.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, Degerfors or Brommapojkarna?

Our model rates Degerfors as the most likely outcome at 41% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for Degerfors vs Brommapojkarna?

A scoreline around 2-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

What's the head-to-head record?

In the last 6 meetings: 5 Degerfors wins, 0 draws, 1 Brommapojkarna wins.

See odds at bookmakers

League table

Sweden. Allsvenskan
#TeamGPWLTGPts
1Sirius980124:1025
2Elfsborg1141616:1118
3Hammarby1053222:1017
4Hacken940517:1217
5Mjallby1043314:1115
6Brommapojkarna943213:1414
7Djurgardens944119:1313
8GAIS1034313:1112
9AIK933312:1312
10Vasteras SK933313:1712
11Kalmar935111:1210
12Malmo935115:1810
13Degerfors924310:149
14Goteborg91448:187
15Halmstads91537:156
16Orgryte1016310:256
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Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.