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Poland Championship. Liga 3

Blekitni Stargard Szczecinski vs Flota Swinoujscie: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

Blekitni Stargard Szczecinski Blekitni Stargard SzczecinskivsFlota Swinoujscie Flota Swinoujscie
Our predictionBlekitni Stargard Szczecinski to win
Confidence: High · 62/100

Our model leans Blekitni Stargard Szczecinski (43% probability), high confidence.

Why this prediction

+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.

Win probabilities

1 · Blekitni Stargard Szczecinski43%
Draw25%
2 · Flota Swinoujscie31%
1 · Blekitni Stargard SzczecinskiDraw2 · Flota Swinoujscie
Full team comparison

Recent form

Blekitni Stargard SzczecinskiWDDLD
Flota SwinoujscieDWWWW
Team strength rating
Blekitni Stargard Szczecinski
65
Flota Swinoujscie
50

Most likely scorelines

1-112.1%
1-011.2%
2-19.3%
2-08.6%
0-17.9%
0-07.3%

Expected goals

1.53Blekitni Stargard Szczecinski
xG
1.08Flota Swinoujscie
Over 2.5 goals48%
Both teams to score52%

Match DNA

AttackDefenseFormStrengthH2HVenue
Blekitni Stargard Szczecinski Flota Swinoujscie

Key points

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A012345
07842
1111272
29952
3453
422
5

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Full analysis

The model blends the odds, head-to-head history and recent form to frame this clash between Blekitni Stargard Szczecinski and Flota Swinoujscie. After removing the bookmaker margin, the probabilities settle at 43% for Blekitni Stargard Szczecinski, 25% for the draw and 31% for Flota Swinoujscie.

Several signals point toward Blekitni Stargard Szczecinski. The head-to-head record favours Blekitni Stargard Szczecinski (4-2-0). Blekitni Stargard Szczecinski have home advantage.

Across the last 6 meetings, the record reads 4 Blekitni Stargard Szczecinski wins, 2 draws and 0 Flota Swinoujscie wins. Recent scorelines: 1-1, 2-3, 2-0, 1-1, 3-1.

On form, Blekitni Stargard Szczecinski show W-D-D-L-D across their recent outings, while Flota Swinoujscie read D-W-W-W-W. Recent momentum carries weight in the assessment, particularly when combined with home advantage and the competition context.

On the secondary markets, our model puts over 2.5 goals at 48% and both teams to score at 52%. The totals market stays finely balanced.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, Blekitni Stargard Szczecinski or Flota Swinoujscie?

Our model rates Blekitni Stargard Szczecinski as the most likely outcome at 43% probability.

What's the head-to-head record?

In the last 6 meetings: 4 Blekitni Stargard Szczecinski wins, 2 draws, 0 Flota Swinoujscie wins.

See odds at bookmakers

Match statistics

Konrad Prawucki10'
Niedojad56'
Unknown63'

Match story

How the game unfolded
0–15'10

Blekitni Stargard Szczecinski make it count (Konrad Prawucki (10')). It's 1–0 at this point.

10'Konrad Prawucki
15–45'10

A controlled first-half spell with few clear chances. (1–0)

Half-time

Half-time score: Blekitni Stargard Szczecinski 1 – 0 Flota Swinoujscie.

45–75'30

Blekitni Stargard Szczecinski make it count (Niedojad (56'), Unknown (63')). It's 3–0 at this point.

56'Niedojad63'Unknown
75–90'+30

A tense finish, but the scoreline stays put. (3–0)

Full time: Blekitni Stargard Szczecinski 30 Flota Swinoujscie

League table

Poland Championship. Liga 3. Group 2
#TeamGPWLTGPts
1Zawisza Bydgoszcz33244571:2377
2Wiked Luzino34246479:3976
3Polonia Sroda Wielkopolska33198665:4263
4Lech Poznan II331412766:5249
5Flota Swinoujscie331412748:4949
6Elana Torun331412747:5049
7KS Lipno Steszew331413643:5148
8Wda Swiecie331413643:6348
9Unia Swarzedz331312844:3747
10ZKS Kluczevia341314754:4346
11MKS Notec Czarnkow331313746:4546
12Blekitni Stargard Szczecinski331113953:5142
13Victoria Wrzesnia331218339:4539
14Pogon Nowe Skalmierzyce331014934:4439
15Pogon Szczecin II331117571:6538
16GKS Cartusia Kartuzy331117538:4938
17Tluchowia33719732:6428
18LKS Wybrzeze Rewalskie Rewal33324619:8015
Promotion - Division 2 Promotion - Division 2 (Promotion - Play-off) Relegation

Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.