Blekitni Stargard Szczecinski vs Flota Swinoujscie: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Our model leans Blekitni Stargard Szczecinski (43% probability), high confidence.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +The head-to-head record favours Blekitni Stargard Szczecinski (4-2-0).
- +Blekitni Stargard Szczecinski have home advantage.
Win probabilities
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- The head-to-head record favours Blekitni Stargard Szczecinski (4-2-0).
- Blekitni Stargard Szczecinski have home advantage.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 2 | ||
| 1 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 2 | ||
| 2 | 9 | 9 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 4 | 5 | 3 | |||
| 4 | 2 | 2 | ||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model blends the odds, head-to-head history and recent form to frame this clash between Blekitni Stargard Szczecinski and Flota Swinoujscie. After removing the bookmaker margin, the probabilities settle at 43% for Blekitni Stargard Szczecinski, 25% for the draw and 31% for Flota Swinoujscie.
Several signals point toward Blekitni Stargard Szczecinski. The head-to-head record favours Blekitni Stargard Szczecinski (4-2-0). Blekitni Stargard Szczecinski have home advantage.
Across the last 6 meetings, the record reads 4 Blekitni Stargard Szczecinski wins, 2 draws and 0 Flota Swinoujscie wins. Recent scorelines: 1-1, 2-3, 2-0, 1-1, 3-1.
On form, Blekitni Stargard Szczecinski show W-D-D-L-D across their recent outings, while Flota Swinoujscie read D-W-W-W-W. Recent momentum carries weight in the assessment, particularly when combined with home advantage and the competition context.
On the secondary markets, our model puts over 2.5 goals at 48% and both teams to score at 52%. The totals market stays finely balanced.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Blekitni Stargard Szczecinski or Flota Swinoujscie?
Our model rates Blekitni Stargard Szczecinski as the most likely outcome at 43% probability.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 4 Blekitni Stargard Szczecinski wins, 2 draws, 0 Flota Swinoujscie wins.
Match statistics
Match story
How the game unfoldedBlekitni Stargard Szczecinski make it count (Konrad Prawucki (10')). It's 1–0 at this point.
A controlled first-half spell with few clear chances. (1–0)
Half-time score: Blekitni Stargard Szczecinski 1 – 0 Flota Swinoujscie.
Blekitni Stargard Szczecinski make it count (Niedojad (56'), Unknown (63')). It's 3–0 at this point.
A tense finish, but the scoreline stays put. (3–0)
League table
Poland Championship. Liga 3. Group 2| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 33 | 24 | 4 | 5 | 71:23 | 77 | |
| 2 | 34 | 24 | 6 | 4 | 79:39 | 76 | |
| 3 | 33 | 19 | 8 | 6 | 65:42 | 63 | |
| 4 | 33 | 14 | 12 | 7 | 66:52 | 49 | |
| 5 | 33 | 14 | 12 | 7 | 48:49 | 49 | |
| 6 | 33 | 14 | 12 | 7 | 47:50 | 49 | |
| 7 | 33 | 14 | 13 | 6 | 43:51 | 48 | |
| 8 | 33 | 14 | 13 | 6 | 43:63 | 48 | |
| 9 | 33 | 13 | 12 | 8 | 44:37 | 47 | |
| 10 | 34 | 13 | 14 | 7 | 54:43 | 46 | |
| 11 | 33 | 13 | 13 | 7 | 46:45 | 46 | |
| 12 | 33 | 11 | 13 | 9 | 53:51 | 42 | |
| 13 | 33 | 12 | 18 | 3 | 39:45 | 39 | |
| 14 | 33 | 10 | 14 | 9 | 34:44 | 39 | |
| 15 | 33 | 11 | 17 | 5 | 71:65 | 38 | |
| 16 | 33 | 11 | 17 | 5 | 38:49 | 38 | |
| 17 | 33 | 7 | 19 | 7 | 32:64 | 28 | |
| 18 | 33 | 3 | 24 | 6 | 19:80 | 15 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.