Tallinna Kalev vs Viimsi JK: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Tallinna Kalevvs
Viimsi JKOur model leans Tallinna Kalev (38% probability), low confidence.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −Recent form favours Viimsi JK.
- −The head-to-head history is finely balanced.
- +Tallinna Kalev have home advantage.
Win probabilities
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Recent form favours Viimsi JK.
- The head-to-head history is finely balanced.
- Tallinna Kalev have home advantage.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 1 | 10 | 12 | 7 | 3 | ||
| 2 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 3 | 4 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 1 | 1 | ||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model blends the odds, head-to-head history and recent form to frame this clash between Tallinna Kalev and Viimsi JK. After removing the bookmaker margin, the probabilities settle at 38% for Tallinna Kalev, 27% for the draw and 35% for Viimsi JK.
Several signals point toward Tallinna Kalev. Tallinna Kalev have home advantage.
Across the last 6 meetings, the record reads 2 Tallinna Kalev wins, 2 draws and 2 Viimsi JK wins. Recent scorelines: 2-0, 3-1, 4-1, 1-0, 1-1.
On form, Tallinna Kalev show L-D-L-D-W across their recent outings, while Viimsi JK read W-D-W-W-D. Recent momentum carries weight in the assessment, particularly when combined with home advantage and the competition context.
On the secondary markets, our model puts over 2.5 goals at 48% and both teams to score at 53%. The totals market stays finely balanced.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Tallinna Kalev or Viimsi JK?
Our model rates Tallinna Kalev as the most likely outcome at 38% probability.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 2 Tallinna Kalev wins, 2 draws, 2 Viimsi JK wins.
Match statistics
Match story
How the game unfoldedCautious start, both sides feeling each other out. (0–0)
Viimsi JK make it count (Vahe (30')). It's 0–1 at this point.
Half-time score: Tallinna Kalev 0 – 1 Viimsi JK.
Viimsi JK make it count (Kore (55'), Murage (63')). It's 0–3 at this point.
A tense finish, but the scoreline stays put. (0–3)
League table
Estonia. Esiliiga| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Tartu JK Welco Elekter | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 34:16 | 26 |
| 2 | Viimsi JK | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 22:9 | 24 |
| 3 |  Flora Tallinn II | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 30:22 | 20 |
| 4 |  Nomme United U21 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 24:23 | 18 |
| 5 |  Elva | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 22:20 | 17 |
| 6 | Tallinna Kalev | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 23:23 | 15 |
| 7 |  Nomme Kalju U21 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 17:25 | 14 |
| 8 |  Maardu Linnameeskond | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 14:28 | 12 |
| 9 |  Tallinn | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 17:31 | 10 |
| 10 |  Levadia II | 12 | 3 | 9 | 0 | 20:26 | 9 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.