Castellon vs Eibar: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

Full analysis

The model blends the odds, head-to-head history and recent form to frame this clash between Castellon and Eibar. After removing the bookmaker margin, the probabilities settle at 65% for Castellon, 15% for the draw and 20% for Eibar.

Several signals point toward Castellon. The odds point to a clear favourite. The head-to-head record favours Castellon (4-1-1). Recent form favours Castellon.

Across the last 6 meetings, the record reads 4 Castellon wins, 1 draws and 1 Eibar wins. Recent scorelines: 0-0, 2-0, 1-0, 4-0, 0-1.

If the trend holds, a scoreline around 2-1 is plausible — treat it as a pointer, not a certainty.

On form, Castellon show W-D-D-W-W across their recent outings, while Eibar read L-L-W-W-W. Recent momentum carries weight in the assessment, particularly when combined with home advantage and the competition context.

On the secondary markets, our model puts over 2.5 goals at 49% and both teams to score at 42%. The totals market stays finely balanced.

Our model flags a disagreement with the market on "Castellon" (1X2): we rate it 65% versus the 62% implied by odds of 1.52, an edge of 3.1 points. That's where the market appears to underrate the true likelihood.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.