Burgos vs Andorra Andorra la Vella: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Our model leans Burgos (63% probability), high confidence.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +The odds point to a clear favourite.
- +Recent form favours Burgos.
- −The head-to-head history is finely balanced.
- −Burgos are dealing with notable absentees.
- +Andorra Andorra la Vella are dealing with notable absentees.
- +Burgos have home advantage.
Win probabilities
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- The odds point to a clear favourite.
- Recent form favours Burgos.
- The head-to-head history is finely balanced.
- Burgos are dealing with notable absentees.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. "Value" means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 5 | 2 | |||
| 1 | 14 | 10 | 4 | |||
| 2 | 13 | 10 | 3 | |||
| 3 | 8 | 6 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | |||
| 5 | 2 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Value radar
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply — a potential value spot.
Full analysis
The model blends the odds, head-to-head history and recent form to frame this clash between Burgos and Andorra Andorra la Vella. After removing the bookmaker margin, the probabilities settle at 63% for Burgos, 16% for the draw and 22% for Andorra Andorra la Vella.
Several signals point toward Burgos. The odds point to a clear favourite. Recent form favours Burgos. Andorra Andorra la Vella are dealing with notable absentees.
Across the last 6 meetings, the record reads 3 Burgos wins, 1 draws and 2 Andorra Andorra la Vella wins. Recent scorelines: 2-1, 1-0, 0-0, 2-1, 0-1.
If the trend holds, a scoreline around 2-1 is plausible — treat it as a pointer, not a certainty.
On form, Burgos show W-W-D-D-D across their recent outings, while Andorra Andorra la Vella read W-L-L-W-W. Recent momentum carries weight in the assessment, particularly when combined with home advantage and the competition context.
On the secondary markets, our model puts over 2.5 goals at 49% and both teams to score at 44%. The totals market stays finely balanced.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Burgos or Andorra Andorra la Vella?
Our model rates Burgos as the most likely outcome at 63% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Burgos vs Andorra Andorra la Vella?
A scoreline around 2-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 3 Burgos wins, 1 draws, 2 Andorra Andorra la Vella wins.
League table
Spain. Segunda Division| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 41 | 24 | 10 | 7 | 86:60 | 79 | |
| 2 | 41 | 22 | 8 | 11 | 64:42 | 77 | |
| 3 | 41 | 21 | 12 | 8 | 80:63 | 71 | |
| 4 | 41 | 20 | 11 | 10 | 73:52 | 70 | |
| 5 | 41 | 19 | 9 | 13 | 55:39 | 70 | |
| 6 | 41 | 19 | 10 | 12 | 68:50 | 69 | |
| 7 | 41 | 19 | 10 | 12 | 47:33 | 69 | |
| 8 | 41 | 19 | 12 | 10 | 51:38 | 67 | |
| 9 | 41 | 17 | 15 | 9 | 56:60 | 60 | |
| 10 | 41 | 16 | 14 | 11 | 56:54 | 59 | |
| 11 | 41 | 16 | 15 | 10 | 50:63 | 58 | |
| 12 | 41 | 17 | 17 | 7 | 58:53 | 58 | |
| 13 | 41 | 16 | 15 | 10 | 62:53 | 58 | |
| 14 | 41 | 12 | 17 | 12 | 49:54 | 48 | |
| 15 | 41 | 12 | 19 | 10 | 51:60 | 46 | |
| 16 | 41 | 12 | 19 | 10 | 44:56 | 46 | |
| 17 | 41 | 11 | 20 | 10 | 40:57 | 43 | |
| 18 | 41 | 10 | 18 | 13 | 42:51 | 43 | |
| 19 | 41 | 10 | 21 | 10 | 47:68 | 40 | |
| 20 | 41 | 9 | 22 | 10 | 40:62 | 37 | |
| 21 | 41 | 9 | 23 | 9 | 38:67 | 36 | |
| 22 | 41 | 8 | 21 | 12 | 35:57 | 36 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.