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Spain. Segunda Division

Burgos vs Andorra Andorra la Vella: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

Burgos BurgosvsAndorra Andorra la Vella Andorra Andorra la Vella
Our predictionBurgos to win
Confidence: High · 92/100
Score hint: 2-1

Our model leans Burgos (63% probability), high confidence.

Why this prediction

+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.

Win probabilities

1 · Burgos63%
Draw16%
2 · Andorra Andorra la Vella22%
1 · BurgosDraw2 · Andorra Andorra la Vella
Full team comparison

Recent form

BurgosWWDDD
Andorra Andorra la VellaWLLWW
Team strength rating
Burgos
79
Andorra Andorra la Vella
46

Most likely scorelines

1-013.5%
2-013.0%
1-19.9%
2-19.5%
3-08.3%
0-07.0%

Expected goals

1.92Burgos
xG
0.73Andorra Andorra la Vella
Over 2.5 goals49%
Both teams to score44%

Match DNA

AttackDefenseFormStrengthH2HVenue
Burgos Andorra Andorra la Vella

Key points

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment
1X2Burgos win1.52Fair

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. "Value" means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A012345
0752
114104
213103
3862
4431
521

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Value radar

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply — a potential value spot.

1X2Draw6.25+0.4%
1X2Burgos1.52+0.1%
1X2Andorra Andorra la Vella4.26-0.5%
Our model BookmakerPositive edge = potential value. Not betting advice.

Full analysis

The model blends the odds, head-to-head history and recent form to frame this clash between Burgos and Andorra Andorra la Vella. After removing the bookmaker margin, the probabilities settle at 63% for Burgos, 16% for the draw and 22% for Andorra Andorra la Vella.

Several signals point toward Burgos. The odds point to a clear favourite. Recent form favours Burgos. Andorra Andorra la Vella are dealing with notable absentees.

Across the last 6 meetings, the record reads 3 Burgos wins, 1 draws and 2 Andorra Andorra la Vella wins. Recent scorelines: 2-1, 1-0, 0-0, 2-1, 0-1.

If the trend holds, a scoreline around 2-1 is plausible — treat it as a pointer, not a certainty.

On form, Burgos show W-W-D-D-D across their recent outings, while Andorra Andorra la Vella read W-L-L-W-W. Recent momentum carries weight in the assessment, particularly when combined with home advantage and the competition context.

On the secondary markets, our model puts over 2.5 goals at 49% and both teams to score at 44%. The totals market stays finely balanced.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, Burgos or Andorra Andorra la Vella?

Our model rates Burgos as the most likely outcome at 63% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for Burgos vs Andorra Andorra la Vella?

A scoreline around 2-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

What's the head-to-head record?

In the last 6 meetings: 3 Burgos wins, 1 draws, 2 Andorra Andorra la Vella wins.

See odds at bookmakers

League table

Spain. Segunda Division
#TeamGPWLTGPts
1Racing de Santander412410786:6079
2Deportivo de La Coruna412281164:4277
3UD Almeria412112880:6371
4Malaga4120111073:5270
5Las Palmas411991355:3970
6Castellon4119101268:5069
7Burgos4119101247:3369
8Eibar4119121051:3867
9Cordoba411715956:6060
10Albacete Balompie4116141156:5459
11AD Ceuta4116151050:6358
12Sporting de Gijon411717758:5358
13Andorra Andorra la Vella4116151062:5358
14Granada4112171249:5448
15Real Sociedad II4112191051:6046
16Real Valladolid4112191044:5646
17Cadiz4111201040:5743
18Leganes4110181342:5143
19Mirandes4110211047:6840
20Huesca419221040:6237
21Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa41923938:6736
22Real Zaragoza418211235:5736
Promotion - Primera Promotion - Segunda (Promotion - Play-off: Round of 4) Relegation

Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.