Vissel Kobe vs Kashima Antlers: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Vissel Kobevs
Kashima AntlersOur model leans Vissel Kobe (39% probability), low confidence.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +The odds point to a clear favourite.
- −Recent form favours Kashima Antlers.
- −The head-to-head history is finely balanced.
- −Vissel Kobe are dealing with notable absentees.
- +Vissel Kobe have home advantage.
Win probabilities
Value radar
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply — a potential value spot.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- The odds point to a clear favourite.
- Recent form favours Kashima Antlers.
- The head-to-head history is finely balanced.
- Vissel Kobe are dealing with notable absentees.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. "Value" means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 1 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 3 | ||
| 2 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 4 | 4 | 3 | |||
| 4 | 1 | 2 | ||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model blends the odds, head-to-head history and recent form to frame this clash between Vissel Kobe and Kashima Antlers. After removing the bookmaker margin, the probabilities settle at 39% for Vissel Kobe, 29% for the draw and 33% for Kashima Antlers.
Several signals point toward Vissel Kobe. The odds point to a clear favourite. Vissel Kobe have home advantage.
Across the last 6 meetings, the record reads 3 Vissel Kobe wins, 1 draws and 2 Kashima Antlers wins. Recent scorelines: 0-0, 1-0, 0-3, 3-1, 1-0.
If the trend holds, a scoreline around 2-1 is plausible — treat it as a pointer, not a certainty.
On form, Vissel Kobe show W-L-W-L-W across their recent outings, while Kashima Antlers read W-W-W-W-W. Recent momentum carries weight in the assessment, particularly when combined with home advantage and the competition context.
On the secondary markets, our model puts over 2.5 goals at 48% and both teams to score at 52%. The totals market stays finely balanced.
Our model flags a disagreement with the market on "Kashima Antlers" (1X2): we rate it 33% versus the 30% implied by odds of 3.13, an edge of 2.6 points. That's where the market appears to underrate the true likelihood.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Vissel Kobe or Kashima Antlers?
Our model rates Vissel Kobe as the most likely outcome at 39% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Vissel Kobe vs Kashima Antlers?
A scoreline around 2-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 3 Vissel Kobe wins, 1 draws, 2 Kashima Antlers wins.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.