CSyD Flandria vs Arsenal de Sarandi: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
CSyD Flandriavs
Arsenal de SarandiArsenal de Sarandi is heavily favored to claim three points on the road, with an 82% model probability supported by strong bookmaker consensus, despite CSyD Flandria's home advantage and recent form resilience.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +The odds point to a clear favourite.
- −Recent form favours CSyD Flandria.
- −CSyD Flandria have home advantage.
Win probabilities
Value radar
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply — a potential value spot.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Arsenal de Sarandi commanding 82% win probability; bookmaker odds (1.09) reflect decisive favorite status
- CSyD Flandria shows mixed recent form (W-D-L-D-D) with home advantage, but this appears insufficient to overcome away team's perceived quality
- Head-to-head: Arsenal won their sole prior meeting 3-0, establishing a significant historical edge
- Score projection of 1-2 suggests Flandria may score but fall short—a typical away victory pattern
- Conflicting signals: home form and ground advantage favor Flandria, yet bookmaker odds and prior result strongly back Arsenal
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. "Value" means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8 | 17 | 19 | 13 | 7 | 3 |
| 1 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 1 |
| 2 | 1 | 1 | ||||
| 3 | ||||||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model's 82% away win probability sits well above the implied odds from betting markets (85.7%), suggesting modest analytical confidence in an Arsenal victory relative to market pricing. However, the 1.09 odds remain prohibitively short for most bettors, offering minimal margin of safety. This is a fixture where the favorite is genuine, but pricing limits upside.
CSyD Flandria's recent record includes one win and three draws across five matches, indicating competitive stability at home. Home advantage is a legitimate factor in Argentine football. However, Arsenal de Sarandi's 3-0 victory in their only prior encounter signals a significant quality gap that recent form alone may not have fully corrected.
Arsenal's away form (D-D-L-W-D) appears mixed on surface, but bookmaker assessment heavily favors their title credentials in this matchup. The scoreHint of 1-2 points to a scenario where Flandria scores once but concedes twice—consistent with a visitor's controlled victory rather than a dominant home performance.
Betting angle: this is a classic 'favorite too short' situation. While Arsenal's win is the most probable outcome, the 1.09 odds offer limited compensation for the risk of a minor league upset. Bettakers should consider whether the 82% probability justifies exposure at current prices. Responsible play suggests waiting for better odds or avoiding outright bets entirely.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, CSyD Flandria or Arsenal de Sarandi?
Our model rates Arsenal de Sarandi as the most likely outcome at 82% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for CSyD Flandria vs Arsenal de Sarandi?
A scoreline around 1-2 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 1 meetings: 0 CSyD Flandria wins, 0 draws, 1 Arsenal de Sarandi wins.
Match statistics
Match story
How the game unfoldedCautious start, both sides feeling each other out. (0–0)
No goals but plenty of bite: 4 card(s) in this spell. Score holds at 0–0.
Half-time score: CSyD Flandria 0 – 0 Arsenal de Sarandi.
No goals but plenty of bite: 2 card(s) in this spell. Score holds at 0–0.
A tense finish, but the scoreline stays put. (0–0)
League table
Argentina. Primera B Metropolitana| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal de Sarandi | 16 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 24:8 | 33 |
| 2 |  Villa Dalmine | 16 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 21:7 | 33 |
| 3 |  Excursionistas | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 20:9 | 31 |
| 4 |  Atletico Camioneros | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 16:8 | 30 |
| 5 |  Sportivo Italiano | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 17:11 | 30 |
| 6 |  Club Atletico Talleres Remedios de Escalada | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 13:7 | 28 |
| 7 |  Deportivo Merlo | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 20:19 | 26 |
| 8 |  Real Pilar | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 20:17 | 25 |
| 9 |  Club Comunicaciones | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 15:15 | 23 |
| 10 |  San Martin de Burzaco | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 18:14 | 22 |
| 11 |  Dock Sud | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 16:14 | 19 |
| 12 |  Argentino de Merlo | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 10:13 | 19 |
| 13 |  Deportivo Liniers | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 11:17 | 19 |
| 14 | CSyD Flandria | 16 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 13:20 | 18 |
| 15 |  Deportivo Laferrere | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 13:21 | 17 |
| 16 |  UAI Urquiza | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 9:10 | 16 |
| 17 |  Defensores Unidos | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 14:16 | 16 |
| 18 |  Argentino de Quilmes | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 13:16 | 15 |
| 19 |  Deportivo Armenio | 16 | 4 | 9 | 3 | 14:24 | 15 |
| 20 |  Club Atletico Brown | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 8:18 | 15 |
| 21 |  Villa San Carlos | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 19:22 | 14 |
| 22 |  Club Atletico Ituzaingo | 16 | 0 | 11 | 5 | 10:28 | 5 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.