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Canada. Premier League

Supra du Quebec vs Inter Toronto: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

Supra du Quebec Supra du QuebecvsInter Toronto Inter Toronto
Our predictionSupra du Quebec to win
Confidence: High · 92/100
Score hint: 2-1

Our model leans Supra du Quebec (74% probability), high confidence.

Why this prediction

+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.

Win probabilities

1 · Supra du Quebec74%
Draw7%
2 · Inter Toronto19%
1 · Supra du QuebecDraw2 · Inter Toronto
Full team comparison
Team strength rating
Supra du Quebec
75
Inter Toronto
42

Most likely scorelines

2-015.5%
1-014.6%
3-010.9%
2-18.6%
1-18.1%
0-06.9%

Expected goals

2.12Supra du Quebec
xG
0.56Inter Toronto
Over 2.5 goals49%
Both teams to score37%

Match DNA

AttackDefenseFormStrengthH2HVenue
Supra du Quebec Inter Toronto

Key points

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment
1X2Supra du Quebec win1.26Fair

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. "Value" means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A012345
0741
11582
21592
31162
463
521

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Value radar

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply — a potential value spot.

1X2Supra du Quebec1.26+0.2%
1X2Draw13.90-0.1%
1X2Inter Toronto4.83-0.2%
Our model BookmakerPositive edge = potential value. Not betting advice.

Full analysis

With limited data on this fixture, the read here is driven by the market. After removing the bookmaker margin, the probabilities settle at 74% for Supra du Quebec, 7% for the draw and 19% for Inter Toronto — treat this as a lighter, odds-led view.

Several signals point toward Supra du Quebec. The odds point to a clear favourite. Supra du Quebec have home advantage.

If the trend holds, a scoreline around 2-1 is plausible — treat it as a pointer, not a certainty.

On the secondary markets, our model puts over 2.5 goals at 49% and both teams to score at 37%. The totals market stays finely balanced.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, Supra du Quebec or Inter Toronto?

Our model rates Supra du Quebec as the most likely outcome at 74% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for Supra du Quebec vs Inter Toronto?

A scoreline around 2-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

See odds at bookmakers

Match statistics

Referee: 62659eb9f75a663f6911d3da
1.42
Expected goals (xG)
0.18
47
Possession
53
17
Total shots
6
3
Shots on target
0
1
Big Chances
0
5
Corners
2
1
Yellow cards
0
0
Offsides
0
74
Passes in final third
60
8
Fouls
8
Boughanmi🟨29'
59'Gonzales Zela
59'Badibanga B.
Mlah66'
68'Cordova Torres
68'Bassett O.
Kwemi69'
71'Skublak T.

Match story

How the game unfolded
0–15'00

Cautious start, both sides feeling each other out. (0–0)

15–45'00

No goals but plenty of bite: 1 card(s) in this spell. Score holds at 0–0.

29'🟨Boughanmi
Half-time

Half-time score: Supra du Quebec 0 – 0 Inter Toronto.

45–75'21

An end-to-end spell with goals at both ends (Mlah (66'), Kwemi (69'), Skublak T. (71')). Score moves to 2–1.

59'Gonzales Zela59'Badibanga B.66'Mlah68'Cordova Torres68'Bassett O.69'Kwemi71'Skublak T.
75–90'+21

A tense finish, but the scoreline stays put. (2–1)

Full time: Supra du Quebec 21 Inter Toronto

League table

Canada. Premier League
#TeamGPWLTGPts
1Cavalry750212:317
2Forge75119:316
3Inter Toronto630310:512
4Atletico Ottawa73317:1110
5Supra du Quebec62316:77
6HFX Wanderers71338:116
7Vancouver Langley71425:85
8Pacific70616:151
Promotion - Canada. Premier League (Play-off: Round of 4)

Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.