Argentino de Quilmes vs Excursionistas: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

Full analysis

The model blends the odds, head-to-head history and recent form to frame this clash between Argentino de Quilmes and Excursionistas. After removing the bookmaker margin, the probabilities settle at 32% for Argentino de Quilmes, 28% for the draw and 40% for Excursionistas.

Several signals point toward Excursionistas. The odds point to a clear favourite.

Across the last 6 meetings, the record reads 4 Argentino de Quilmes wins, 2 draws and 0 Excursionistas wins. Recent scorelines: 1-2, 2-1, 1-0, 0-0, 1-1.

If the trend holds, a scoreline around 1-2 is plausible — treat it as a pointer, not a certainty.

On form, Argentino de Quilmes show L-D-W-L-D across their recent outings, while Excursionistas read L-W-D-L-W. Recent momentum carries weight in the assessment, particularly when combined with home advantage and the competition context.

On the secondary markets, our model puts over 2.5 goals at 63% and both teams to score at 65%. The match profile leans toward a higher goal total.

Our model flags a disagreement with the market on "Argentino de Quilmes" (1X2): we rate it 32% versus the 27% implied by odds of 3.40, an edge of 4.2 points. That's where the market appears to underrate the true likelihood.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.