← All predictions
Faroe Islands. Effodeildin

AB Argir vs NSI Runavik: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

AB Argir AB ArgirvsNSI Runavik NSI Runavik
Our predictionNSI Runavik to win
Confidence: High · 76/100
Score hint: 1-2

Our model leans NSI Runavik (54% probability), high confidence.

Why this prediction

+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.

Win probabilities

1 · AB Argir13%
Draw33%
2 · NSI Runavik54%
1 · AB ArgirDraw2 · NSI Runavik
Full team comparison

Value radar

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply — a potential value spot.

1X2NSI Runavik1.83+3.6%
1X2AB Argir6.77-0.4%
1X2Draw2.58-3.2%
Our model BookmakerPositive edge = potential value. Not betting advice.

Recent form

AB ArgirLWLDW
NSI RunavikWWLLL
Team strength rating
AB Argir
31
NSI Runavik
74

Most likely scorelines

0-113.6%
0-211.8%
1-111.0%
1-29.6%
0-07.8%
0-36.9%

Expected goals

0.81AB Argir
xG
1.74NSI Runavik
Over 2.5 goals47%
Both teams to score46%

Match DNA

AttackDefenseFormStrengthH2HVenue
AB Argir NSI Runavik

Key points

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment
1X2NSI Runavik win1.83Fair (+3.6%)

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. "Value" means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A012345
081412731
16111062
23442
311
4
5

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Full analysis

The model blends the odds, head-to-head history and recent form to frame this clash between AB Argir and NSI Runavik. After removing the bookmaker margin, the probabilities settle at 13% for AB Argir, 33% for the draw and 54% for NSI Runavik.

Several signals point toward NSI Runavik. The odds point to a clear favourite. The head-to-head record favours NSI Runavik (1-0-5). Recent form favours AB Argir.

Across the last 6 meetings, the record reads 1 AB Argir wins, 0 draws and 5 NSI Runavik wins. Recent scorelines: 2-1, 1-2, 1-4, 2-3, 1-2.

If the trend holds, a scoreline around 1-2 is plausible — treat it as a pointer, not a certainty.

On form, AB Argir show L-W-L-D-W across their recent outings, while NSI Runavik read W-W-L-L-L. Recent momentum carries weight in the assessment, particularly when combined with home advantage and the competition context.

On the secondary markets, our model puts over 2.5 goals at 47% and both teams to score at 46%. The totals market stays finely balanced.

Our model flags a disagreement with the market on "NSI Runavik" (1X2): we rate it 54% versus the 51% implied by odds of 1.83, an edge of 3.6 points. That's where the market appears to underrate the true likelihood.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, AB Argir or NSI Runavik?

Our model rates NSI Runavik as the most likely outcome at 54% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for AB Argir vs NSI Runavik?

A scoreline around 1-2 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

What's the head-to-head record?

In the last 6 meetings: 1 AB Argir wins, 0 draws, 5 NSI Runavik wins.

See odds at bookmakers

Match statistics

Referee: 67114a020d8c0bfbf1977d27
46
Possession
54
8
Total shots
4
5
Shots on target
2
2
Corners
2
2
Yellow cards
1
Unknown🟨9'
Skala R.24'
31'Knudsen P.
35'Unknown
Moses🟨38'
Jakobsen53'
Toki Rasmussen60'
61'Unknown
63'🟨Unknown
63'Drinic
64'Hestad
70'Benjaminsen J. J.
Danjal Danielsen70'

Match story

How the game unfolded
0–15'00

No goals but plenty of bite: 1 card(s) in this spell. Score holds at 0–0.

9'🟨Unknown
15–45'12

An end-to-end spell with goals at both ends (Skala R. (24'), Knudsen P. (31'), Unknown (35')). Score moves to 1–2.

24'Skala R.31'Knudsen P.35'Unknown38'🟨Moses
Half-time

Half-time score: AB Argir 1 – 2 NSI Runavik.

45–75'24

An end-to-end spell with goals at both ends (Jakobsen (53'), Unknown (61'), Benjaminsen J. J. (70')). Score moves to 2–4.

53'Jakobsen60'Toki Rasmussen61'Unknown63'🟨Unknown63'Drinic64'Hestad70'Benjaminsen J. J.70'Danjal Danielsen
75–90'+24

A tense finish, but the scoreline stays put. (2–4)

Full time: AB Argir 24 NSI Runavik

League table

Faroe Islands. Effodeildin
#TeamGPWLTGPts
1NSI Runavik1181221:1026
2B36 Torshavn1170421:625
3KI Klaksvik1160523:723
4Vikingur Gota1142514:917
5Havnar Boltfelag1145216:1814
6AB Argir1136214:1811
7B68 Toftir1136213:2611
8Skala IF1226411:1510
9EB Streymur1126310:179
1007 Vestur122916:237
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification) Promotion - UEFA Conference League (Qualification) Relegation - Division 1

Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.