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Iceland. 1. Deild

HK Kopavogur vs Iþrottafelagið Volsungur: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

HK Kopavogur HK KopavogurvsIþrottafelagið Volsungur Iþrottafelagið Volsungur
Our predictionHK Kopavogur to win
Confidence: High · 88/100
Score hint: 2-1

Our model leans HK Kopavogur (63% probability), high confidence.

Why this prediction

+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.

Win probabilities

1 · HK Kopavogur63%
Draw6%
2 · Iþrottafelagið Volsungur31%
1 · HK KopavogurDraw2 · Iþrottafelagið Volsungur
Full team comparison

Recent form

HK KopavogurLLWLL
Iþrottafelagið VolsungurWLWDD
Team strength rating
HK Kopavogur
63
Iþrottafelagið Volsungur
53

Most likely scorelines

1-012.9%
2-011.6%
1-110.8%
2-19.7%
0-07.1%
3-07.0%

Expected goals

1.80HK Kopavogur
xG
0.84Iþrottafelagið Volsungur
Over 2.5 goals49%
Both teams to score47%

Match DNA

AttackDefenseFormStrengthH2HVenue
HK Kopavogur Iþrottafelagið Volsungur

Key points

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment
1X2HK Kopavogur win1.46Fair (-0.7%)

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. "Value" means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A012345
0762
1131151
2121041
3762
4331
51

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Value radar

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply — a potential value spot.

1X2Iþrottafelagið Volsungur3.14+1.3%
1X2Draw15.20-0.5%
1X2HK Kopavogur1.46-0.7%
Our model BookmakerPositive edge = potential value. Not betting advice.

Full analysis

The model blends the odds, head-to-head history and recent form to frame this clash between HK Kopavogur and Iþrottafelagið Volsungur. After removing the bookmaker margin, the probabilities settle at 63% for HK Kopavogur, 6% for the draw and 31% for Iþrottafelagið Volsungur.

Several signals point toward HK Kopavogur. The odds point to a clear favourite. The head-to-head record favours HK Kopavogur (4-0-2). HK Kopavogur have home advantage.

Across the last 6 meetings, the record reads 4 HK Kopavogur wins, 0 draws and 2 Iþrottafelagið Volsungur wins. Recent scorelines: 0-4, 3-1, 1-0, 1-0, 2-0.

If the trend holds, a scoreline around 2-1 is plausible — treat it as a pointer, not a certainty.

On form, HK Kopavogur show L-L-W-L-L across their recent outings, while Iþrottafelagið Volsungur read W-L-W-D-D. Recent momentum carries weight in the assessment, particularly when combined with home advantage and the competition context.

On the secondary markets, our model puts over 2.5 goals at 49% and both teams to score at 47%. The totals market stays finely balanced.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, HK Kopavogur or Iþrottafelagið Volsungur?

Our model rates HK Kopavogur as the most likely outcome at 63% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for HK Kopavogur vs Iþrottafelagið Volsungur?

A scoreline around 2-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

What's the head-to-head record?

In the last 6 meetings: 4 HK Kopavogur wins, 0 draws, 2 Iþrottafelagið Volsungur wins.

See odds at bookmakers

Match statistics

60
Possession
40
10
Total shots
3
6
Shots on target
1
8
Corners
2
1
Yellow cards
0
Petursson15'
39'Gestur Aron Sorensson
Thorvarsson46'
Petursson🟨57'

Match story

How the game unfolded
0–15'00

Cautious start, both sides feeling each other out. (0–0)

15–45'00

A controlled first-half spell with few clear chances. (0–0)

15'Petursson39'Gestur Aron Sorensson
Half-time

Half-time score: HK Kopavogur 0 – 0 Iþrottafelagið Volsungur.

45–75'00

No goals but plenty of bite: 1 card(s) in this spell. Score holds at 0–0.

46'Thorvarsson57'🟨Petursson
75–90'+00

A tense finish, but the scoreline stays put. (0–0)

Full time: HK Kopavogur 00 Iþrottafelagið Volsungur

League table

Iceland. 1. Deild
#TeamGPWLTGPts
1Fylkir54108:312
2Knattspyrnufelagið Þrottur531112:610
3Ungmennafelagid Afturelding531114:1110
4HK Kopavogur532012:99
5Iþrottafelag Reykjavikur522114:127
6Grindavik51046:47
7Vestri522110:127
8Leiknir Reykjavík51134:66
9Grotta52309:126
10Ungmennafelag Njardvikur51222:45
11Iþrottafelagið Volsungur50322:82
12KF Aegir Thorlakshofn50412:81
Promotion - Best division Promotion - Division 1 (Play-off: Round of 4) Relegation - Division 2

Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.