HK Kopavogur vs Iþrottafelagið Volsungur: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Our model leans HK Kopavogur (63% probability), high confidence.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +The odds point to a clear favourite.
- +The head-to-head record favours HK Kopavogur (4-0-2).
- −Recent form favours Iþrottafelagið Volsungur.
- +HK Kopavogur have home advantage.
Win probabilities
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- The odds point to a clear favourite.
- The head-to-head record favours HK Kopavogur (4-0-2).
- Recent form favours Iþrottafelagið Volsungur.
- HK Kopavogur have home advantage.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. "Value" means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 6 | 2 | |||
| 1 | 13 | 11 | 5 | 1 | ||
| 2 | 12 | 10 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 3 | 7 | 6 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | |||
| 5 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Value radar
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply — a potential value spot.
Full analysis
The model blends the odds, head-to-head history and recent form to frame this clash between HK Kopavogur and Iþrottafelagið Volsungur. After removing the bookmaker margin, the probabilities settle at 63% for HK Kopavogur, 6% for the draw and 31% for Iþrottafelagið Volsungur.
Several signals point toward HK Kopavogur. The odds point to a clear favourite. The head-to-head record favours HK Kopavogur (4-0-2). HK Kopavogur have home advantage.
Across the last 6 meetings, the record reads 4 HK Kopavogur wins, 0 draws and 2 Iþrottafelagið Volsungur wins. Recent scorelines: 0-4, 3-1, 1-0, 1-0, 2-0.
If the trend holds, a scoreline around 2-1 is plausible — treat it as a pointer, not a certainty.
On form, HK Kopavogur show L-L-W-L-L across their recent outings, while Iþrottafelagið Volsungur read W-L-W-D-D. Recent momentum carries weight in the assessment, particularly when combined with home advantage and the competition context.
On the secondary markets, our model puts over 2.5 goals at 49% and both teams to score at 47%. The totals market stays finely balanced.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, HK Kopavogur or Iþrottafelagið Volsungur?
Our model rates HK Kopavogur as the most likely outcome at 63% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for HK Kopavogur vs Iþrottafelagið Volsungur?
A scoreline around 2-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 4 HK Kopavogur wins, 0 draws, 2 Iþrottafelagið Volsungur wins.
Match statistics
Match story
How the game unfoldedCautious start, both sides feeling each other out. (0–0)
A controlled first-half spell with few clear chances. (0–0)
Half-time score: HK Kopavogur 0 – 0 Iþrottafelagið Volsungur.
No goals but plenty of bite: 1 card(s) in this spell. Score holds at 0–0.
A tense finish, but the scoreline stays put. (0–0)
League table
Iceland. 1. Deild| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8:3 | 12 | |
| 2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 12:6 | 10 | |
| 3 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 14:11 | 10 | |
| 4 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 12:9 | 9 | |
| 5 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 14:12 | 7 | |
| 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6:4 | 7 | |
| 7 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10:12 | 7 | |
| 8 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4:6 | 6 | |
| 9 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 9:12 | 6 | |
| 10 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2:4 | 5 | |
| 11 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2:8 | 2 | |
| 12 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 2:8 | 1 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.