New York Cosmos vs Union Omaha: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
New York Cosmosvs
Union OmahaOur model leans Union Omaha (61% probability), high confidence.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +The odds point to a clear favourite.
- −New York Cosmos have home advantage.
Win probabilities
Expected goals
Most likely scorelines
Match DNA
Key points
- The odds point to a clear favourite.
- New York Cosmos have home advantage.
- Goals outlook: a tight, low-scoring game likely.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. "Value" means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 11 | 17 | 13 | 7 | 3 | |
| 1 | 7 | 11 | 9 | 5 | 2 | |
| 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 2 | ||
| 3 | ||||||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Value radar
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply — a potential value spot.
Full analysis
With limited data on this fixture, the read here is driven by the market. After removing the bookmaker margin, the probabilities settle at 17% for New York Cosmos, 22% for the draw and 61% for Union Omaha — treat this as a lighter, odds-led view.
Several signals point toward Union Omaha. The odds point to a clear favourite.
If the trend holds, a scoreline around 0-1 is plausible — treat it as a pointer, not a certainty.
On the secondary markets, our model puts over 2.5 goals at 39% and both teams to score at 39%. The profile leans toward a tighter, lower-scoring game.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, New York Cosmos or Union Omaha?
Our model rates Union Omaha as the most likely outcome at 61% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for New York Cosmos vs Union Omaha?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward under 2.5 goals.
Match statistics
Match story
How the game unfoldedCautious start, both sides feeling each other out. (0–0)
No goals but plenty of bite: 3 card(s) in this spell. Score holds at 0–0.
Half-time score: New York Cosmos 0 – 0 Union Omaha.
Union Omaha make it count (Gomes (60')). It's 0–1 at this point.
New York Cosmos make it count (Holt (80')). It's 1–1 at this point.
League table
USA. USL League One| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Union Omaha | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 18:10 | 22 |
| 2 |  Spokane Velocity | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 14:9 | 20 |
| 3 |  One Knoxville | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 15:10 | 18 |
| 4 |  Naples | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 11:11 | 17 |
| 5 |  Fort Wayne | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 13:10 | 15 |
| 6 |  Charlotte Independence | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 17:10 | 14 |
| 7 |  Athletic Boise | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 15:11 | 14 |
| 8 |  AV Alta | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 15:12 | 13 |
| 9 |  Portland Hearts of Pine | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 10:10 | 11 |
| 10 |  Richmond Kickers | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 8:7 | 10 |
| 11 |  Forward Madison | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 9:10 | 10 |
| 12 |  Chattanooga Red Wolves | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9:9 | 7 |
| 13 |  Westchester SC | 9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 12:16 | 7 |
| 14 |  Greenville Triumph | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 9:13 | 7 |
| 15 | New York Cosmos | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 12:20 | 7 |
| 16 |  Sarasota Paradise | 11 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 9:20 | 7 |
| 17 |  Corpus Christi | 9 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 9:17 | 5 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.