Chattanooga Red Wolves vs Richmond Kickers: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Chattanooga Red Wolvesvs
Richmond KickersOur model leans Chattanooga Red Wolves (42% probability), medium confidence.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +The head-to-head record favours Chattanooga Red Wolves (4-1-1).
- −Recent form favours Richmond Kickers.
- +Chattanooga Red Wolves have home advantage.
Win probabilities
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- The head-to-head record favours Chattanooga Red Wolves (4-1-1).
- Recent form favours Richmond Kickers.
- Chattanooga Red Wolves have home advantage.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 1 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 3 | ||
| 2 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 4 | 4 | 3 | |||
| 4 | 1 | 2 | ||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model blends the odds, head-to-head history and recent form to frame this clash between Chattanooga Red Wolves and Richmond Kickers. After removing the bookmaker margin, the probabilities settle at 42% for Chattanooga Red Wolves, 24% for the draw and 34% for Richmond Kickers.
Several signals point toward Chattanooga Red Wolves. The head-to-head record favours Chattanooga Red Wolves (4-1-1). Chattanooga Red Wolves have home advantage.
Across the last 6 meetings, the record reads 4 Chattanooga Red Wolves wins, 1 draws and 1 Richmond Kickers wins. Recent scorelines: 0-2, 0-0, 2-1, 3-1, 1-0.
On form, Chattanooga Red Wolves show L-W-L-L-W across their recent outings, while Richmond Kickers read W-W-L-W-L. Recent momentum carries weight in the assessment, particularly when combined with home advantage and the competition context.
On the secondary markets, our model puts over 2.5 goals at 48% and both teams to score at 52%. The totals market stays finely balanced.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Chattanooga Red Wolves or Richmond Kickers?
Our model rates Chattanooga Red Wolves as the most likely outcome at 42% probability.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 4 Chattanooga Red Wolves wins, 1 draws, 1 Richmond Kickers wins.
Match statistics
Match story
How the game unfoldedChattanooga Red Wolves make it count (Ropapa Mensah (4'), Tapia (11')). It's 2–0 at this point.
No goals but plenty of bite: 3 card(s) in this spell. Score holds at 2–0.
Half-time score: Chattanooga Red Wolves 2 – 0 Richmond Kickers.
Chattanooga Red Wolves make it count (Bentley (48'), Javier Hernandez (58')). It's 4–0 at this point.
A tense finish, but the scoreline stays put. (4–0)
League table
USA. USL League One| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Union Omaha | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 18:10 | 22 |
| 2 |  Spokane Velocity | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 14:9 | 20 |
| 3 |  One Knoxville | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 15:10 | 18 |
| 4 |  Naples | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 11:11 | 17 |
| 5 |  Fort Wayne | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 13:10 | 15 |
| 6 |  Charlotte Independence | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 17:10 | 14 |
| 7 |  Athletic Boise | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 15:11 | 14 |
| 8 |  AV Alta | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 15:12 | 13 |
| 9 |  Portland Hearts of Pine | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 10:10 | 11 |
| 10 | Richmond Kickers | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 8:7 | 10 |
| 11 |  Forward Madison | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 9:10 | 10 |
| 12 | Chattanooga Red Wolves | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9:9 | 7 |
| 13 |  Westchester SC | 9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 12:16 | 7 |
| 14 |  Greenville Triumph | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 9:13 | 7 |
| 15 |  New York Cosmos | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 12:20 | 7 |
| 16 |  Sarasota Paradise | 11 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 9:20 | 7 |
| 17 |  Corpus Christi | 9 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 9:17 | 5 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.