Long Island Rough Riders vs Staten Island ASC: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Long Island Rough Ridersvs
Staten Island ASCOur model leans Long Island Rough Riders (43% probability), high confidence.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +The head-to-head record favours Long Island Rough Riders (2-1-0).
- +Long Island Rough Riders have home advantage.
Win probabilities
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- The head-to-head record favours Long Island Rough Riders (2-1-0).
- Long Island Rough Riders have home advantage.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 2 | ||
| 1 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 2 | ||
| 2 | 9 | 9 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 4 | 5 | 3 | |||
| 4 | 2 | 2 | ||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model blends the odds, head-to-head history and recent form to frame this clash between Long Island Rough Riders and Staten Island ASC. After removing the bookmaker margin, the probabilities settle at 43% for Long Island Rough Riders, 25% for the draw and 31% for Staten Island ASC.
Several signals point toward Long Island Rough Riders. The head-to-head record favours Long Island Rough Riders (2-1-0). Long Island Rough Riders have home advantage.
Across the last 3 meetings, the record reads 2 Long Island Rough Riders wins, 1 draws and 0 Staten Island ASC wins. Recent scorelines: 1-6, 0-3, 1-1.
On form, Long Island Rough Riders show W-L-W-L-L across their recent outings, while Staten Island ASC read W-L-L-W-W. Recent momentum carries weight in the assessment, particularly when combined with home advantage and the competition context.
On the secondary markets, our model puts over 2.5 goals at 48% and both teams to score at 52%. The totals market stays finely balanced.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Long Island Rough Riders or Staten Island ASC?
Our model rates Long Island Rough Riders as the most likely outcome at 43% probability.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 3 meetings: 2 Long Island Rough Riders wins, 1 draws, 0 Staten Island ASC wins.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.