ND Primorje vs NK Nafta Lendava: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
ND Primorjevs
NK Nafta LendavaOur model leans NK Nafta Lendava (52% probability), high confidence.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +The odds point to a clear favourite.
- +Recent form favours NK Nafta Lendava.
- −The head-to-head history is finely balanced.
- −ND Primorje have home advantage.
Win probabilities
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- The odds point to a clear favourite.
- Recent form favours NK Nafta Lendava.
- The head-to-head history is finely balanced.
- ND Primorje have home advantage.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. "Value" means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8 | 12 | 9 | 5 | 2 | |
| 1 | 8 | 12 | 9 | 5 | 2 | |
| 2 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | |||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Value radar
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply — a potential value spot.
Full analysis
The model blends the odds, head-to-head history and recent form to frame this clash between ND Primorje and NK Nafta Lendava. After removing the bookmaker margin, the probabilities settle at 26% for ND Primorje, 22% for the draw and 52% for NK Nafta Lendava.
Several signals point toward NK Nafta Lendava. The odds point to a clear favourite. Recent form favours NK Nafta Lendava.
Across the last 6 meetings, the record reads 2 ND Primorje wins, 3 draws and 1 NK Nafta Lendava wins. Recent scorelines: 2-2, 2-2, 1-1, 0-3, 2-0.
If the trend holds, a scoreline around 1-2 is plausible — treat it as a pointer, not a certainty.
On form, ND Primorje show L-D-L-L-L across their recent outings, while NK Nafta Lendava read D-L-W-W-W. Recent momentum carries weight in the assessment, particularly when combined with home advantage and the competition context.
On the secondary markets, our model puts over 2.5 goals at 47% and both teams to score at 50%. The totals market stays finely balanced.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, ND Primorje or NK Nafta Lendava?
Our model rates NK Nafta Lendava as the most likely outcome at 52% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for ND Primorje vs NK Nafta Lendava?
A scoreline around 1-2 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 2 ND Primorje wins, 3 draws, 1 NK Nafta Lendava wins.
Match statistics
Referee: 62bdba63f75a663f69793ef6Match story
How the game unfoldedCautious start, both sides feeling each other out. (0–0)
No goals but plenty of bite: 1 card(s) in this spell. Score holds at 0–0.
Half-time score: ND Primorje 0 – 0 NK Nafta Lendava.
No goals but plenty of bite: 2 card(s) in this spell. Score holds at 0–0.
A tense finish, but the scoreline stays put. (0–0)
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.