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Brazil. Campeonato Brasileiro. Serie B

Atletico Clube Goianiense vs Goias Esporte Clube: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

Atletico Clube Goianiense Atletico Clube GoianiensevsGoias Esporte Clube Goias Esporte Clube
Our predictionAtletico Clube Goianiense to win
Confidence: Medium · 51/100
Score hint: 2-1

Our model leans Atletico Clube Goianiense (41% probability), medium confidence.

Why this prediction

+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.

Win probabilities

1 · Atletico Clube Goianiense41%
Draw28%
2 · Goias Esporte Clube31%
1 · Atletico Clube GoianienseDraw2 · Goias Esporte Clube
Full team comparison

Value radar

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply — a potential value spot.

1X2Atletico Clube Goianiense2.40+2.3%
1X2Draw3.30-0.8%
1X2Goias Esporte Clube2.87-1.5%
Our model BookmakerPositive edge = potential value. Not betting advice.

Recent form

Atletico Clube GoianienseWDWWD
Goias Esporte ClubeWLLLL
Team strength rating
Atletico Clube Goianiense
61
Goias Esporte Clube
46

Most likely scorelines

1-112.2%
1-011.0%
2-19.2%
2-08.3%
0-18.1%
0-07.3%

Expected goals

1.51Atletico Clube Goianiense
xG
1.11Goias Esporte Clube
Over 2.5 goals48%
Both teams to score52%

Match DNA

AttackDefenseFormStrengthH2HVenue
Atletico Clube Goianiense Goias Esporte Clube

Key points

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment
1X2Atletico Clube Goianiense win2.40Fair (+2.3%)
Double chanceAtletico Clube Goianiense or drawInfo

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. "Value" means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A012345
07842
1111273
28952
3453
422
5

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Full analysis

The model blends the odds, head-to-head history and recent form to frame this clash between Atletico Clube Goianiense and Goias Esporte Clube. After removing the bookmaker margin, the probabilities settle at 41% for Atletico Clube Goianiense, 28% for the draw and 31% for Goias Esporte Clube.

Several signals point toward Atletico Clube Goianiense. The odds point to a clear favourite. Recent form favours Atletico Clube Goianiense. Goias Esporte Clube are dealing with notable absentees.

Across the last 6 meetings, the record reads 1 Atletico Clube Goianiense wins, 3 draws and 2 Goias Esporte Clube wins. Recent scorelines: 0-0, 0-2, 1-1, 0-0, 1-2.

If the trend holds, a scoreline around 2-1 is plausible — treat it as a pointer, not a certainty.

On form, Atletico Clube Goianiense show W-D-W-W-D across their recent outings, while Goias Esporte Clube read W-L-L-L-L. Recent momentum carries weight in the assessment, particularly when combined with home advantage and the competition context.

On the secondary markets, our model puts over 2.5 goals at 48% and both teams to score at 52%. The totals market stays finely balanced.

Our model flags a disagreement with the market on "Atletico Clube Goianiense" (1X2): we rate it 41% versus the 39% implied by odds of 2.40, an edge of 2.3 points. That's where the market appears to underrate the true likelihood.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, Atletico Clube Goianiense or Goias Esporte Clube?

Our model rates Atletico Clube Goianiense as the most likely outcome at 41% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for Atletico Clube Goianiense vs Goias Esporte Clube?

A scoreline around 2-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

What's the head-to-head record?

In the last 6 meetings: 1 Atletico Clube Goianiense wins, 3 draws, 2 Goias Esporte Clube wins.

See odds at bookmakers

Odds movement

3.543.212.892.562.23
Home 2.40 Draw 3.30 Away 2.87

League table

Brazil. Campeonato Brasileiro. Serie B
#TeamGPWLTGPts
1Sao Bernardo1062216:720
2Clube Nautico Capibaribe1063116:919
3Sport Club do Recife1051413:719
4Vila Nova1051416:1119
5Fortaleza EC1052314:1018
6Goias Esporte Clube1054111:1216
7Novorizontino1042413:1016
8Esporte Clube Juventude114349:616
9CRB Maceio1044217:1514
10Criciuma1032511:914
11Athletic Club MG1032512:1114
12Ceara1033411:1113
13Operario Ferroviario1033410:1313
14Atletico Clube Goianiense103439:1012
15Avai1024410:1310
16Cuiaba101274:510
17Botafogo Ribeirao Preto1025311:119
18Londrina1026212:188
19Associacao Atletica Ponte Preta102719:207
20America Minas Gerais110836:223
Promotion - Brazil. Campeonato Brasileiro. Serie A Promotion - Brazil. Campeonato Brasileiro. Serie B (Promotion - Play-off: Final) Relegation - Brazil. Campeonato Brasileiro Serie C (First stage)

Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.